Maestrobjwa

But wait a minute...Remember last month when the GFS was totally on it's own showing a favorable solution for literally DAYS before finally folding? That's why I'm not sure how much to trust it right now, lol

Sounds like a question for a GFSologist

Tick, tick, north...Wouldn't surprise me if we're in the gray area by 0z (or earlier) tomorrow, lol (I'd love to be wrong, of course)

Always value in letting the run finish first

Can't remember the last time the ICON went nuclear like that (given it was born during our snow drought this may be one of maybe...3 times )

I can't remember the exact day...but wasn't there another weekend "threat" that made it all the way to Tuesday? (I feel like it was late Jan or earlier this month)

Hey, nothing wrong with being an optimist! The line between optimism and realism is a bit blurry. So the optimist side can say perhaps this time can be different...realist side becomes pessimistic knowing what we wentthrough! But hey, in only takes one time

Yeah but you know how this winter has gone though...lol

Kinda like watching your favorite team that's been struggling all year...you're watching in case something different happens

The frickle? I will never understand how this happens in the chaos of weather, lol

Remembering when it was stubborn in showing a hit earlier this winter and slowly caved to the others! We shall see...

This hurts man...we strugglin' and they see anomalous snow, lol

Brother, I knew I'd hit an all-time low with this hobby when I checked a GFS run during a service, lolol There I was behind the keyboard watching that dang PV lobe suppress snow to NC...instead of focusing on what I needed to! THAT was bad

Well technically there was another threat a week or two ago that made it to Day 5...so let's see where we are Monday...so we get to Wednesday we can talk!

Fewer pingers more flakes now...just nice to see SOMETHING.

It feels like if he doesn't show up then he's likely deemed whatever we're tracking as not worth the time, lol

Man that never works, lol Curious that it doesn't happen that often though.

Now when things like this happen, I have difficulty distinguishing between something that's an anomaly vs a symptom of other things. Any thoughts on which category this would fall under?

O Canada also has some sort of a mixed event.

Ah I see--Although, given how this winter has been, it may be safer to assume morensleet for something like this until we see a colder push with the 540 show up on future runs. Not impossible of course....but ya know, this winter

I think the becoming jaded I mentioned awhile ago is already starting to take place, lol

Even if 70% of that is sleet I'd still take it this winter.

Man I just tried to cheat and zoom in on your pic to see if there was a time stamp...darn it too blurry, lol

Man that SER ain't gonna just give up like that, lol Not this winter!

Whoa boy. Well, I think we're gonna have to learn to be okay with this. I mean seriously--for our own mental/spiritual health! I mean yes we don't know everything about the future (only what the trend has been up to this date), but if this is coming/gonna get worse...we have to learn to be okay. It may not be worth getting upset about (or even giving too much thought to)...otherwise we'll be living in a dread of "terrifying" trends and such creating the illusion of some objectively bad thing coming that isn't really objectively bad. My guess is if, say, a decade from now, snow chances are where they are now or worse...we would have gotten used to that reality (by force--because literally nothing would've happened, and things could be worse by then!). Might be time to kinda distance ourselves y'all, lol