Maestrobjwa

Well technically there was another threat a week or two ago that made it to Day 5...so let's see where we are Monday...so we get to Wednesday we can talk!

Fewer pingers more flakes now...just nice to see SOMETHING.

It feels like if he doesn't show up then he's likely deemed whatever we're tracking as not worth the time, lol

Man that never works, lol Curious that it doesn't happen that often though.

Now when things like this happen, I have difficulty distinguishing between something that's an anomaly vs a symptom of other things. Any thoughts on which category this would fall under?

O Canada also has some sort of a mixed event.

Ah I see--Although, given how this winter has been, it may be safer to assume morensleet for something like this until we see a colder push with the 540 show up on future runs. Not impossible of course....but ya know, this winter

I think the becoming jaded I mentioned awhile ago is already starting to take place, lol

Even if 70% of that is sleet I'd still take it this winter.

Man I just tried to cheat and zoom in on your pic to see if there was a time stamp...darn it too blurry, lol

Man that SER ain't gonna just give up like that, lol Not this winter!

Whoa boy. Well, I think we're gonna have to learn to be okay with this. I mean seriously--for our own mental/spiritual health! I mean yes we don't know everything about the future (only what the trend has been up to this date), but if this is coming/gonna get worse...we have to learn to be okay. It may not be worth getting upset about (or even giving too much thought to)...otherwise we'll be living in a dread of "terrifying" trends and such creating the illusion of some objectively bad thing coming that isn't really objectively bad. My guess is if, say, a decade from now, snow chances are where they are now or worse...we would have gotten used to that reality (by force--because literally nothing would've happened, and things could be worse by then!). Might be time to kinda distance ourselves y'all, lol

YO Lolol How did you generate this? Haha

So you think this is gonna just stall in like a warm neutral? (I mean we do have a pretty long way to go...and we are due for an el niño you'd think)

Yeah now I'm just a layman in weather...so this kind of thing I just can't square with the idea of a warmer base state. Wouldn't that mean warmer everywhere then...or just here? Lol

Are they at a higher elevation? Sheesh...this winter has to be anomaly category. I mean then we talk about the base you-know-what being overall warmer then we see this mess--and they're one the west coast by the dang Pacific! It's supposed to be global **** not "just warm on the EC", lol

Oh it's definitely the worst unless we get more than flurries at best on Saturday. Even our record low snowfall year of 1949-50 had 0.5 inches by this date...and we up here sitting at 0.2, lol Mercy

I'd like to know why in the world a cycle I'm weather lasts so long!

Yep just as wrong as it could be, lol But you'd think this time we don't circle back to another nina but at least a warm neutral (as somebody in our sub said earlier).

So somebody big just passed gas? *Banishes himself to the elementary corner*

Yeah I didn't really mean that literally. Now tbh, I'm still learning about longwave maps and such, so I saw blue over us and orange north of us and thought "hey a better look!" But I was speaking more in general though--2018 was more of what I had in mind. When we had all that blocking 3 weeks too late!

Let me ask you this (and my apologies if this has been discussed already): Is the SER a direct result of these SSTs...or is that driven by something else? Someone answered earlier it was a nina thing, but given how strong it's been I was wondering if those warm waters were a cause.

I'd like a copyright on that last one--let that be my valuable contribution for this winter

Rocking us to sleep perhaps

Personally I don't mind it TOO much--it's the atmospheric trolling (that is, getting a look then we couldn't get all winter) that is rather annoying, haha