Maestrobjwa
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Everything posted by Maestrobjwa
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Why?
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Seems like the models wanna give Wednesday a little more juice...perhaps we see our first flurries? (It's been so long since I've seen a falling flake of any kind that I'd actually get up for that if they happen at 7 am, lol)
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Dang...so now Lamar is the last starting QB standing in the AFC North. I am PRAYING he stays healthy after what we've gone through the last two seasons!
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It's the same as somebody posting a monthly projection here, though. Just like we say "this model still likes some snow at the end of the month"...he did the same. Now yes, Tony is a weenie like many of us, but I don't see anything wrong with this. Don't really think it's "hyping" either. Just like if somebody says the extended models favor a better pattern by then...
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Like I said the other day...science and emotion don't always go together, lol
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What these two posts are referencing is precisely why I cannot fully embrace the possibility of a better winter, or seeing something different than the last 7 years. This stuff could cause a Niño not to work, thereby putting a fork in any above-mediam snow possibilities. We just don't know...that's the thing. We simply don't know, and being skeptical is not illogical given what we've seen. If the Niño works I will be thrilled...but until then...hard to be TOO optimistic just yet.
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I'm seeing an underlying poo-pooing anybody who posts about whether the warmer state of the globe overall is negatively impacting snowy setups that used to work. On the surface it's a "Why ate you worried about that and it's just Dec 2nd", but underneath that there's an aversion to the whole aspect of a "bade state" and a warmer globe. Some of you act like that couldn't even be a possibility--which I don't understand because we've all been watching the last 7 years. For me, that alone is enough to be skeptical of anything working until we actually see it work THIS season. Sure a setup worked 15-20 years ago...but show me how recently it worked. Yes, we have not had a legit Niño since the 2015-16 super...so that's different from the last 7 years. But you can't just dismiss any concern about certain influences being permanent features that interfere with snowy patterns.
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As you said in another thread...it's fear because of last year and the 4-5 years prior. So those posts are more emotion than science...and the inherent unknowns of the winter simply because it's just Dec 2nd leave a gap of speculation, lol
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I'm still a bit annoyed that we wasted the last solar minimum, smh
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Is there a such thing as a rainy clipper? Lol
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Hey buddy that's my job! Read my avatar--I'M the Maestro and control all musical content here. Now get in line or get out of my studio!!!
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And if your upper level skill isn't quite there...just unplug until Monday, lol Chaotic flows, chaotic runs, and even less certainty outside of a couple days.
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The way I see it, it sounds like we could already start off being ahead of last year: Actually SEEING snowflakes falling. Last year turned the troll aspect up to 1000 by not only giving just 0.2 inches, but doing at dang 4 am when nobody could see it, lol So for me even non-sticking flakes would be a good start (that and the fact that Mt. PSU may get closer to the inch )
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Oh I had assumed you did, lol Oops (but just know I'm making the effort to be better here)
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@mattie g I know ya got me on ignore but regardless...fixed
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Tell me if I'm way off base here (and I apologize if I am) but...why does it sound like you have an ongoing contempt with arguments from a year ago? Like what you're saying is right about what it could implicate, but everytime you say it it is as if you still have a bone to pick or something. And perhaps I haven't followed enough, but lately I haven't seen many (if any) on here arguing with you otherwise. I mean yeah we're all hoping it isn't true, lol, but I'm not seeing the arguments much anymore.
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He just said in the thread underneath that he made a mistake with the 09 reference, lol
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Hence your small sample size warning already looking to be true, lol And even from a layman perspective...in 2015 we were having highs in the upper 70s to near 80 late in November...so that warmth was already rearing it's head at this point. Definitely different this time!
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PSU just said "if".....but that was enough to start the chatter, lol I'm not sure the forum is capable of NOT reacting when talking about an if scenario that would damage snow climo. It's just the emotions and such...but I'm finding out on here that a scientific mindset and emotional consideration don't always go together, lol But nevertheless...if he brings it up said chatter will start everytime.
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Like this (posted this earlier, lol)
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I don't understand the aversion to that, lol
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If I may...Do you think it would be helpful to pin this in a closed thread by itself at the top a la some other subforum notices I've seen on here? Feels like we may need to it to slap people in the face in case they forget...like in a week, lol
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Was looking back on Jan 2016 on YouTube, saw this and thought of you immediately, lol
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Still early...also, I answered your pm.
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Layman question: How is "coupling" measured? (It's always been a bit of a nebulous concept to me, lol)
