Maestrobjwa
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Everything posted by Maestrobjwa
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Oh yeah I wasn't blaming ya for skepticism...I totally get it. Just used your comments as an example to show said "scars" many of us are carrying, lol For me, I try not to go there (easier said than done sometimes, lol) and just live in the now of what models are showing...and finally having a legit niño. So if anything I'm happy that it appears we could get our best swing in...but do we connect? Stay tuned
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See this? The scars are real y'all, lol
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Ya sure thar didn't miss South because of the PDO? Lol (only half-joking because I don't have a visual of what a -PDO does to storm tracks for us) And come to think of it...how is it we only got 1.2 inches of snow yet the winter was near-normal temp wise? I mean I get a fluke miss, but where were the rest of the flakes? Lol
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@psuhoffman @Terpeast (and whoever else wants to weigh in) Been reading about the PDO this evening...when you made your outlooks, what were your thoughts about about it still being so negative yet with a nino that's strong but not super? Another poster aptly named it a potential "battle royale"...I'm wondering if a weird in between solution is on the table as well...
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I'm wondering if the apparent extinction of the Alberta Clipper is a microcosm of this.
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I'm trying not to ask too many questions, but I'm trying to conceptualize how all this fits together, lol So you have a strong niño, a -PDO (with a coolness you usually see in ninas, right?). How does the WPAC warm pool fit into all this? Overall...sounds like competing forces...
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Sheesh...you weren't kidding, lol And none of the strong ones came close! Wonder what the potential implications would be?
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Which El ninos of the past were -PDO dominated?
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We have ourselves a new good poster If you haven't been here before welcome aboard!
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Oops...Ravens in the No. 1 seed spot for now! (As long as we don't stay there...after 2006 and 2019 I do NOT want us to win that top seed! Let the Chiefs have it, lol)
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All we can look at at this stage (that and PSU's inch, that is)
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*puts on @ravensrule mask* If you don't know where you're peeing at I think you have bigger problems.
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As it has been since that update last year. Is it too early to say it just can't be trusted as much? Even in last year's mediocrity it seemed like it was off the rails on several occasions...
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Bringing this here to not clutter up further. I guess...I was just trying to get folks to understand the why of my reaction and others. Some of you seem to be mystified as to why. I mean I get what you're saying though...just made sure there was understanding of why. Some of ya don't seem to understand what it's like, tbh...
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Gotta make sure there isn't any can-kicking going on first, lol
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That too (although when there's other good stuff in between it's hard to miss, lol)
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I question how important it is to have this discussion for us to have in this forum where pretty much everybody knows where we are and what a fail this winter would mean? I'd like to think 99% of don't need to be convinced of that...especially not after alllllllll the endless discussion of our climo the last few winters. It's like preaching to the snowy choir, lol
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You're right--it won't (I'm not talking about "jinxes" here, lol) But do you know what talking about it a lot does do? Makes a scenario that hasn't happened feel more real. In other words, the more you talk about a fail scenario, the more real it feels in the mind despite the fact that it hasn't happened. Some would rather focus on the now in order to live in the now, and be more optimistic (hence the "Why are we doing this already" responses you'll get) Hard to stay optimistic and simultaneously have endless discussion about the fail scenario, lol Some don't want to even go there at this point for that very reason.
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The way I see it...I think it's proven that no other enso state works anymore. But now this is the last one we HAVEN'T had in this stretch...so thus year we see if at least this one thing (mod niño) can still work. And if it does...we'll all be stoked. At least that would mean once or twice a decade we can get above average even if the climate is too hostile for the other setups. Yeah that's a lot of years and life that would be going by in between, but...we may have to take what we can get. Now I also get why somebody doesn't wanna have this discussion right now. May be fun to speculate (as scientific debates do and that's great) but let's not forget the emotional side of this (and I get it, maybe some scientific debaters are more logic than emotion and don't get that side of things, lol). It is indeed the last snow hope we're looking at here...like it legit could tell us what the rest of our lives in terms of snow will look like here, and some prefer to stay optimistic and not entertain the other.
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To my novice eyes...this thing hasn't been right since the update last year. But perhaps someone else can weigh in on the verification scores and such.
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Well ya better get used to it because it's be here until the inch happens, lol
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EP-CP mix/basin wide? Wha How granular do we wanna get here? Lol
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Why in the world are you looking that far ahead?? Stay in the present day, dang it! We're still figuring out THIS winter--mercy, dude!
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Nor did it help them in 2006. So that's twice it turned into disaster (and ironically I think both had the same kind of weather--unseasonably warm and somewhat rainy). So nah, I don't want no parts of that No. 1, lol Both SB years went mostly on the road except the WC...I'm okay with that!
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Let 'em get the 1 seed. We do better with a lower seed anyway
