That is why just some periods of sustained cold like we had this week are my low LOW bar. I mean the difficulty of getting even that the last 8-9 years has been insane. Just let it FEEL like winter please, at the very least!
And yes the "at the end of the run" false hope analysis...I find that when the overall pattern is doing something not favorable, better not to pay said end of the run much attention unless you see the desired change move up in time. Otherwise it's just wishing upon an hour 384 model run, lol