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Everything posted by Maestrobjwa
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2019 ENSO
Maestrobjwa replied to AfewUniversesBelowNormal's topic in Weather Forecasting and Discussion
Except we really don't know where it's gonna hit yet...so ya might wanna hold off on that, Analogon! (gonna start calling ya that because I've seen somebody dissect analogues to the minute detail you do! ) -
2019 ENSO
Maestrobjwa replied to AfewUniversesBelowNormal's topic in Weather Forecasting and Discussion
Oh stop...Man, you lucky stormtracker isn't in here...you know what's he'd tell you to do, lol -
2019 ENSO
Maestrobjwa replied to AfewUniversesBelowNormal's topic in Weather Forecasting and Discussion
I hope not...Could you clarify what you meant by "this isn't new"? Certainly the PAC hasn't been hostile all decade, right? -
2019 Mid-Atlantic Severe Wx - General Discussion
Maestrobjwa replied to Kmlwx's topic in Mid Atlantic
Now was the cloud debris a result of those storms out there in TN or was it something else?- 2,802 replies
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2019 Mid-Atlantic Severe Wx - General Discussion
Maestrobjwa replied to Kmlwx's topic in Mid Atlantic
Yeah I don't get that...did they not factor in cloudy skies in the forecast yesterday? Or were they simply basing it on what it was doing in Tennessee and such?- 2,802 replies
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2019 Mid-Atlantic Severe Wx - General Discussion
Maestrobjwa replied to Kmlwx's topic in Mid Atlantic
That's why I don't understand why they enhanced the risk knowing the clouds could reduce the chances!- 2,802 replies
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2019 Mid-Atlantic Severe Wx - General Discussion
Maestrobjwa replied to Kmlwx's topic in Mid Atlantic
I didn't think that we usually saw that around here (I was just asking a little while ago about why we don't see "enhanced" that often!)- 2,802 replies
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2019 ENSO
Maestrobjwa replied to AfewUniversesBelowNormal's topic in Weather Forecasting and Discussion
True...And just the winter forecasts in general done by even the more knowledgeable and experienced last winter...fell hard! And it was like "Uhh, we don't know why it's doing what it's doing", lol Last winter seemed to baffle more forecasters than usual (but perhaps I'm just imagining it!) -
2019 ENSO
Maestrobjwa replied to AfewUniversesBelowNormal's topic in Weather Forecasting and Discussion
Harder??? I mean my goodness...last winter, I don't think anybody got it right (at least not for the northeastern part of the country). I mean it didn't do what anybody thought it would...So if this winter is gonna be even harder to predict, then just throw predicitons out the window, lol -
2019 ENSO
Maestrobjwa replied to AfewUniversesBelowNormal's topic in Weather Forecasting and Discussion
I mean...how long is "awhile"? We had a neutral in 2014-15 didn't we? -
2019 Mid-Atlantic Severe Wx - General Discussion
Maestrobjwa replied to Kmlwx's topic in Mid Atlantic
That...was frickin' AWESOME!!! Thanks for sharing that! Man, how unpredictable severe can be around here. But I will never forget what that looked like outside my bathroom window (was literally taking a shower when I post power, lol) The wind blowing the sheets of heavy rain down the street...felt like a 20-minute hurricane, loop (basically was!) And then the absolute tree carnage the next day...mercy! That was certainly one for the books!- 2,802 replies
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2019 Mid-Atlantic Severe Wx - General Discussion
Maestrobjwa replied to Kmlwx's topic in Mid Atlantic
So...I know this isn't exactly on topic (although this is severe weather)...But I wasn't on these forums during the derecho back in 2012. How much in advance did the various know it was coming? (man that was some epicness that night!)- 2,802 replies
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2019 Mid-Atlantic Severe Wx - General Discussion
Maestrobjwa replied to Kmlwx's topic in Mid Atlantic
Any particular reason we don't see hail that often here in the city?- 2,802 replies
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2019 Mid-Atlantic Severe Wx - General Discussion
Maestrobjwa replied to Kmlwx's topic in Mid Atlantic
So do we have any more threat of storms today?- 2,802 replies
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2019 Mid-Atlantic Severe Wx - General Discussion
Maestrobjwa replied to Kmlwx's topic in Mid Atlantic
Ya didn't get enough over the 365+ days of pure soakage we just went through? Lol- 2,802 replies
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We've got a whole lotta nothin' A whole lotta nothin' we have!
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Man if nothing else...I wanna get to 20.1" on the year. That is the normal (average) for BWI...and dang it we are so close. Only need 2.2 inches...so this map, verbatim, might be close to doing the trick, lol
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Hey @North Balti Zen @nw baltimore wx @BaltimoreWxGuy Let's all meet in the northwest corner of the city, lololol How Baltimore gets the tiniest corner here is hilarious!
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What the hay? I KNOW you must be referring to just March events, right?
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Several? It really only hurt us once (December) did it not?
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Yeah and yet if the storm tonight wasn't going to bomb out...the Monday storm would end up warmer anyway, right? So it's a bit of a trade...where only a weaker Monday storm can give us snow, lol
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Oof!! Just a little bit closer...
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We're about to have to get mother mappy in here in a second....yall about to act up!! Lololol
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Then we know what to root for...lol Now was the last mod/strong modoki 2009-10? (I thought one of you had mentioned 2014 or 2015, but I could be mistaken). But if it was...c'mon we gotta be due soon, lolol
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I guess you're right...I had assumed since we hadn't had any positive steps the last couple days that this one didn't have much of a chance... so what saves this threat? (And you're right--I know bigger numbers can be a part of a lower average...although I would like to see just how many weak Niños actually produced above average!)