Maestrobjwa
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Everything posted by Maestrobjwa
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Something tells me this is gonna trend colder over the next 48 hours of runs...but maybe it's just weenieism, lol Bur I do put a little stock in the postively familiar scenario of CAD being underdone on the modeling.
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Fixed it for ya pops
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Now what is Cobb data?
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Interestkng theory...anybody have thoughts on this?
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So...what we gotta get to turn that 3-6" to 6-8" for us 95 folks? (may sound a bit greedy, but as I said, my bar for this was 5" or more to get a verified WSW...and I'm afraid 3-6" may fall short, lol)
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Yeah, the northeast Baltimore part
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So is this gonna become a battle between the CAD and the low track?...
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And as for the CAD? Will that help any?
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My sole interest in this storm is how amped it'll get to help Wednesday, lol
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Sounds like we'll be sweatin' it the next 24-48 hours to see who caves to who, lol
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Hm...so I'm wondering if we need to watch the first system more closely then...to see if it trends stronger or weaker...now it's practically on the doorstep, so you'd think we'd have more clarity on that by the end of today?
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That there (what you said about the 50/50)...you're saying that being weaker is what's causing the Euro result? And I'm wondering...is Monday’s wave weaker on this run as well? (Thinking about that whole inverse reaction @psuhoffman mentioned)
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We just suck at snow. Regardless of any ridge I knew you were gonna come in and say something like that...maybe you should step away for a little while.
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Alright, so...what would be the culprit for this fail scenario? Just bad timing with the transfer? Somebody said something about the PNA ridge?
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I don't get how the totals still look like that given the low practically in the Chesapeake! Does it snow on the back end, or?
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Model wars three days out? Perfectly 2020...lol
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Yeah but not in this setup. Got a ton a QPF all models agree is coming...
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Not that kind of setup, lol
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Mentally I've been thinking 6-8" with a slight chance of an upside if things really lined up. I'd be good with that...will be disappointed if it busts lower though.
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But my question is why did it cut...timing? Late transfer?
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If the 18z were to happen, that would be the real bust here...because that would take a 5-8" prospect along the beltway and turn it into slush! Hope it's wrong! Now...what is making the primary get tucked in like that? (and what do we need to change it?
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Teased by what, exactly? If ya believed in 12-18"...that may have been your interpretation of that that teased you...
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Yeah no other model has been transferring that late...so it appears to be on an island.
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I think we even had that in Jan 2016! I mean everything went about as perfectly as it can go for that storm!
