Maestrobjwa

And yet we've got an stj next week...but...the temps...

So that wasn't climo...just a bad roll of the atmospheric dice, smh

I love how folks throw "just move" around as if everybody can do that at the drop of the hat, other life factors be darned, lol For some of us the only way is through it. Dropping the hobby ain't a thing for some either...some do the hobby soley to chase snow chances to see what may happen. Snow, happiness...hobby develops in the pursuit of finding out if there will be snow...So "drop the hobby" means "don't look!", lol

Weren't any doorbell cams around to see it was it? Lol

@stormtracker Lucy in the sky with footballs? Ah heck no let's hope she stays home on Thurs/Fri, lol

Not everybody has that option though...and in that case, you're kind of stuck with the climo. I mean I'm in no position to move anywhere, that's for sure! So the only other way is through--figuring out how the heck to deal with it.

It's how I'd like normal to be Winter, cold...not always reality, but I certainly wish it was!

I have no control over where I live (yet)...and even if I did, there would likely be other factors as to why I couldn't exactly move. So I'm stuck trying to figure out how to not need it as much! Wait hang on...so you moved up to your location just for the snow? Wow!

But why? That's just unnatural in winter to me...like it's not supposed be...out of balance. But to each their own, I suppose...

Hard to ignore history...if things in our snow climo have not happened in a certain date range, it's hard to believe that changes (until it does, lol). February 21st-28th is simply not a typical time we get warning level snow. You pointed out 2005...one exception, though. Still rare. As I said, I looked at a list of our biggest snows: and none except for three in March happened after Feb 20th. All the dates were between Jan. and then...for some reason it just hasn't happened, so it's hard to believe it will (until it does, lol)

I gotcha...so that was the one exception, so maybe there's a little hope post Feb 20th (but not for a big storm though--no storm on that list happened the last week of February. Even the great 2009-10 winter we had a miss that week, lol)

In your yard or mine/DC?

Glad you can take this in stride...

Do you think this would influence Thursday too?

I think if Thursday doesn't work...then from a historical standpoint, then we might be able to call it. Not winter has ever produced anything sizeable (that is at least 5") between February 21st-28th, and March is, well...March, lol So next week could be our last shot, I'm afraid

Might be time to look to Thursday...

Fell on my face with this one...my apologies.

You're getting me confused with another...I was just too hasty and forgot to check the temps (no zr/sleet shown on ICON)

Tuesday was mostly plain rain, wasn't it? See I can't tell on the ICON...

ICON showing the fail scenario mentioned...cold air scoured out...as storm approaches. Dang it...

I hope not either...your post was the most bad news you've delivered since January last year, lol I mean to get nothing out of either southern wave next week because of something discreet and random would be a bit of a heartbreaker.....hope we can get something

Aw man...these random things messing stuff up are frustrating as heck...The heck is happening to the Saturday wave to make it weaken it, anyway? Dry air?

Have you ever considered that perhaps the reason why people focus too much on the precip panels is that the other panels aren't exactly the most understood by the casual observer? I know I open up those other panels and I don't know what the heck I'm looking at half the time (and don't want to bog folks down with questions here). So if the panels are akin to a foreign language, of course the precip colors would be the unfortunate default folks go to. Because it's like...blue, green, pink...what ya see on TV. Now...I'm not saying folks can't learn. But I'm not sure there have been any specific, layperson-friendly sources discussed in this forum that help break these things down a little more (like I said earlier, some of you are capable of putting together YouTube tutorials, lol)

Well let's hope that the NAM has the right idea on that wave being weaker...that's one of those annoying discreet details we can't see from range.

Oh great...and let's see where that NS junk is coming from....is that the Great Lakes?? If so, usual suspect...lol