Maestrobjwa

There's one problem with this...last winter was one year after the solar minimum. And lo and behold...we did indeed get our high lat blocking with the -AO/-NAO (isn't that what the whole theory with the minimum is about?) The problem is it didn't do any good!!

Lol...convince myself of what, exactly?

That's what I mean. The "here" and "there" might be getting less frequent. Not so much panicking as weak resignation...5 years and counting since even sniffing over 5 inches. It did not used to be this way. I've looked at the winter from 1980 through now. I'm not sure we've ever gone this long without an area-wide footer coming in some point--at least not since the 70s. Really we can only manage 3-4 inches maximum in a storm in the corridor...whereas before..."now and then" was every 3-4 years. It has been almost 6. I'm gonna miss WSWs, truly....but median is just 2 inchers and 3 inchers...and that would be easier to accept IF we were still able to get a great winter every 3-4 years like we used to. That way it wouldn't be like now where it's like..."dang, it's been 5 years!"...was never like that in my brief lifetime. My concern is what used to be 3-4 times per decade may be even less--and that's assuming things aren't so broken that it can't happen, smh. But again...scenery snows (the 1-4 inchers)...I'm learning to appreciate those too. Last winter was more appreciation of that mixed with some sadness missing what we used to be able to get more often (which wasn't "frequent" but never 6 years apart) But...hopefully I'm wrong and we get surprised!

I mean...a PAC jet dominated winter 3 (or is it 4?) years in a row doesn't warrant at least rational speculation? I mean it seems like we are in unknown territory here, does it not? Unless there was another time in our history where the dang PAC dominated several winters in a row? The lack of cold air source last winter despite the -AO/-NAO that typically gives us an above average winter? I don't know dude...And seeing as it's been almost 6 years since BWI saw a foot, or got too far above median, I'm really beginning to wonder. We haven't gone that long since the 70s. The 80s weren't quite like it...1983...2 footer...1987...above average. 5 year separation. We are working on 6 years...

Ruh-roh....I'll be heading up to Cecil County in a couple hours...hope we can beat the storms!

It's like we're talking about it modeling a Miller B...lol

Yeah it kinda sucks that we can't rely on that as much...because now it's more difficult to know what we need to work to get warning level snow in the corridor again!

So if we can't look at enso...ya wonder how even somewhat accurate winter forecasting even a month out can be, lol (not to mention analogs)

I guess the thing to watch now...is if this feature is permanent. Not sure how many winters in a row we need to see it before we make that determination, though...because if it's becomes permanent...are analogs kinda out the window? Lol

Eh...I wouldn't say the dullest. Imo we are just in the middle enough to make things interesting, lol But when it comes to snow...I think it's just gonna be a tempering down of expectations from pre-2017...a lot of great hits kinda spoiled us!

Ohhhh no you must be thinking of somebody else--not in a million years would a move down there, lol

Dang...that scenario makes ya go *gulp*...Because that might mean, and correct me if I'm being overly simplistic, that we need a legit, moderate-strong El Niño to get good snow (and we only get those what...once maybe twice a decade?) OR...is there another scenario where such pac modification would actually help?

And we haven't been able to shake that since 2016 have we?

But the blocking last year didn't do any good...did it?

Listen we may have to learn to be content with a few inches. I'm not sure we can get bigger snow anymore, tbh. Last winter...some good scenery snow that was beautiful to look at. If we can't get bigger snows I think I can take that as a consolation prize (I guess, lol)

Wow! Had no idea ozone was something you could actually smell! Is it only after tropical systems?

Come again? Lol

Now see had you not mentioned it I probably wouldn't have noticed the fox, lol

Whoa hey what's goin' on here? Where am I? Wow! And badges? Can I transfer over all my Pokémon ones?

Are you kidding? Looks like in the middle of Kansas or something!

Just waking up--one of the first headlines I see...and now the song is back in my head, lolol (ya know I actually like the song from a musical perspective!)

Wait, really? Those must've been rip-offs...lol I seem to remember the 2018-19 ending up being weak and never acting like a Nino. And what happened in 2019-20? I guess that was off set from the raging dragon ++++++++AO...lol But when was the last legit moderate one since 2016?

Is this kinda longer than usual to go between El Ninos?

So on a whim I bought Radarscope during tonight's storminess...lol Not the juiciest storm, but even so...have always wanted to have a nicer radar to follow!

Indeed