Maestrobjwa

Whoa snap!

Got a pet peeve with Baltimore just missing on warning criteria...looks like another situation where we might just miss, dang it! (Gor gipped by the January 2019 storm too. DC got a foot but we got 4.8"...lol)

Ah I gotcha. So deeper low=more precip shield...and any adjustment "north" we see would be because of that.

Wondering how much of this is noise vs. another bump nw...can't imagine it could go too much further? (Of course I'd like it to, lol)

Oof! Sharp cut off. Gonna bet Baltimore just misses warning level accumulation again...lol (unless we get another bump)

Yep...coulda used a tad more of it but hey, lol

Yeah if this works out it's gonna be real weird!

Yes--I mean it's something that can put ya in awe while simultaneously driving you nuts, lol (especially for us snow lovers) I mean it is like the most intricate machine with so many moving parts that can all influence each other in many different ways. And then you have things on the macro...and then the micro with what happens during each storm. It's pretty incredible! Ya know, people always quip about how they'd "love to have a job where I can be paid to be wrong half the time"...not realizing how much goes into making those predictions! The above...THAT is where the expertise of meteorology come in: trying to make sense of all the moving parts, and put that into a 2-3 minute forecast, lol

It's meteorology, so we'll call them meegles

I'm not sure the intricacies (and uncertainties) of meteorology will ever be fully appreciated by the public--mainly because most folks can't see how much chaos there is in predicting weather! (But perhaps that's is a conversation for another thread though, lol)

Depends...I'm geographically challenged, but as long as Baltimore is in blue/deep blue, sure!

And he appears! Good to see ya again good sir!

Ah you mean that late January surprise 5 inches a week before the big ones--yeah that was pretty awesome

Good gloppity...Is a shift like this this close to gametime a bit unusual?

Kaboom goes the GFS, lol

Hang on is that the old FV3 GFS?

You'd think...then again what was that storm last year where the NAM remained stubborn yet kinda inside 48 and ended up being right? Lol Although with the other guidance ticking in the right direction at this range (as opposed to staying put), that would be a bit strange.

NAM in about an hour, followed by ICON Around 10, then GFS, EURO

Yeah I mean we've seen that in the cases where the euro caves...it's usually gradual, lol So I'd take any improvement as a plus!

Yeah I remember the same! It was cold enough to bust the pipes at the church I was the music director at at the time (that was a huge mess that took the church the rest of the year to clean up) It was downright bone-chilling--awesome wind chills too! But that was the most recent stretch of artic cold we had...so it's been a little while!

Agreed...Seeing some legit, serious cold would be a huge relief! At least it would mean things aren't completely broken, lol

I'm ashamed I related to this as much we I did, lol

Ah dang it...so sorry to hear that. So close to 100!! Ya know with John Madden and Harry Reid passing earlier this week...I was just asking who the third person was gonna be (because in some years that's how it goes)...and here we are. She will be missed!

Yep...Especially in early January. Really strange how that seems to be a favored time period for this in ninas. Bomb cyclone happened then...lol And even the one anomalous 1996 hit was also in early January...just that that crazy...whatever it was made it work for us. But otherwise...you can almost bet on a nina beach snow in early January, lol

Ah I see (didn't see that part...or I just intentionally ignored it to not spark any dreams, lol)