Maestrobjwa

What?

And if that's the case...it's hard to imagine there being any good changes. Like...unless the warming suddenly changes a previously unproductive ENSO state like a Nina to something that can work, OR if the warming enhances a nino's positive effects on snow (kinda hard to believe), how can this go anyway but bad? (Seriously I'd like to know a scenario that could still work) And if it gets to the point where our climo becomes like the south...I'm not sure what the point of following things is. If the best we can manage is what we've gotten 2 of the last 3 years...and that even somewhat deep snow is no longer possible...why follow? I mean I get that some do it for the fun of it (but if you love snow I don't know how it doesn't make ya miserable, lol) But snow is what brought me to this in the first place, actually...8 I started a bit of a 5-phases process over this potential already. As I shoveled the few inches of snow we got back once back in Feb, I was sad lamenting that this may be as good as it gets now. I'm gonna miss having the occasional chance of a winter storm warning. Yes, scenery snows have their value (my appreciation grows looking at this reality)...but I'm gonna miss getting even 6-10 inches...as well as the less often (but still used to be every few years) 12"+. There's no way to dress it up. Guess we gotta wait and see...but I'm preparing for the worst and hoping for the best.

Oof...makes my lament look tame! (Insert "That's rough buddy" meme)

These showers from Henri?

To this day I'm still kinda ticked I missed out on it...I mean JUST missed! A 4 minute drive to the bank...and it happened--but I couldn't feel it because I was driving, smh. Missed out on that memory! May not have something like that again...

I remember being quite disappointed because I didn't feel it since I was driving...(still kinda am...rare event! That was really something else!)

That is very true! A simple yet enlightening point...

That sounds about right. Yeah one of those years was the bomb cyclone, lol In Ninas, everything is too far east or northeast!

Wait hang on...95-96 was the only above median snowfall in the bunch. The rest didn't work well here. (and what's 20-22? We ain't there yet, lol) 84-85 10.3 inches 10-11 14.4 inches (We lucked up with the 2010-11 late January storm...but missed Boxing day in the most nina way possible). More El niños than la ninas have worked. Some neutrals have worked. But the least likely enso state for decent snowfall has been la nina. 95-96 I think we can agree is an anomaly.

I do that because trying to guess what happens next and finding patterns in things to try to guess what happens is just in my nature. Not so easily satisfied just not knowing or having stuff have no rhyme or reason when it comes to desirable outcomes. Now I'm slowly coming around to the reality of chaos in weather, however...but I still would like to know if we see warning level snow again. Because if that is no longer possible I won't pay much attention to any seasonal anything or track any winter on this board. But we don't know yet...and I don't like that we do not know, lol It's like...I'd rather know now (and bemoan and vent out the disappointment over not seeing it again), instead of having to have wait to find out later. But again.....we simply can't know...yet

C'mon...you can't tell me it wouldn't fry your circuits and everybody else's circuits too! I'd like to know who here legit wouldn't be surprised at that!

Disagree on one point of that--we still have not had the one ENSO state that has payed off the most: moderate nino. Think about it...we haven't had one since 2009-10! 2016 was strong and gave us out last blizzard, but outside of that? Haven't seen it! I'd like to see if that ENSO state will still work today.

So tell me simply: if the pac will be bad every year from now on...would it only be during El niños that we can snow? Trying to get an idea of what setup we'd need (I'm sure whatever it is won't come as often as we'd like...but I'm still curious)

Hasn't it been that way since 2016? Lol

Ha...so Henri VIII (named storm) threatens New England? Haha...

Pouring once again here! But I think I see a few peaks of sun too

Now what exactly is a training event? (Google yielded irrelevant results, lol)

Ah I'm sorry dude...Now see we miss more than we hit...usually north or south...but for some reason the last week or so the cells have been lining up just right, lol

Heck of a run Baltimore City has been on for the past week...yet another cell straight across the city, lol Quite the downpour!

I think that would be a welcome change for some subforums, lol The PAC jet has been a focal point of discussion of what gets in the way! (and more generally if it would become a more permanent feature or not)

Do dumber things dumbly

"Doing the dumb" lol Gonna use that!

2/3 hits this week with more lighting than I've seen in a long time. What a week!!

And now we have some more rain and rumbles of thunder on the back end...lol Fun storm!

And it's STILL going...the energizer bunny of cells, lol