Maestrobjwa

And it would be No.2 snowfall in a la nina second only to 1995/96, lol

I think that was one of two or three times in my brief 31 years that we actually watched rain change to snow, lol

So...wonder what they'll do with Advisory vs Warning imy?

Yes do tell, sir...(although I'm not sure whether Baltimore is truly a NW periphery, lol)

So that comes a few days after... Heh, would be funny if his prediction turns out to be correct, lol

Yeah a southern fringe ain't gonna be an issue...lol Now I'm a tad picky about a northern "fringe", if anything (heh, I like how the is line just over Baltimore, lol)

Whoa snap!

Got a pet peeve with Baltimore just missing on warning criteria...looks like another situation where we might just miss, dang it! (Gor gipped by the January 2019 storm too. DC got a foot but we got 4.8"...lol)

Ah I gotcha. So deeper low=more precip shield...and any adjustment "north" we see would be because of that.

Wondering how much of this is noise vs. another bump nw...can't imagine it could go too much further? (Of course I'd like it to, lol)

Oof! Sharp cut off. Gonna bet Baltimore just misses warning level accumulation again...lol (unless we get another bump)

Yep...coulda used a tad more of it but hey, lol

Yeah if this works out it's gonna be real weird!

Yes--I mean it's something that can put ya in awe while simultaneously driving you nuts, lol (especially for us snow lovers) I mean it is like the most intricate machine with so many moving parts that can all influence each other in many different ways. And then you have things on the macro...and then the micro with what happens during each storm. It's pretty incredible! Ya know, people always quip about how they'd "love to have a job where I can be paid to be wrong half the time"...not realizing how much goes into making those predictions! The above...THAT is where the expertise of meteorology come in: trying to make sense of all the moving parts, and put that into a 2-3 minute forecast, lol

It's meteorology, so we'll call them meegles

I'm not sure the intricacies (and uncertainties) of meteorology will ever be fully appreciated by the public--mainly because most folks can't see how much chaos there is in predicting weather! (But perhaps that's is a conversation for another thread though, lol)

Depends...I'm geographically challenged, but as long as Baltimore is in blue/deep blue, sure!

And he appears! Good to see ya again good sir!

Ah you mean that late January surprise 5 inches a week before the big ones--yeah that was pretty awesome

Good gloppity...Is a shift like this this close to gametime a bit unusual?

Kaboom goes the GFS, lol

Hang on is that the old FV3 GFS?

You'd think...then again what was that storm last year where the NAM remained stubborn yet kinda inside 48 and ended up being right? Lol Although with the other guidance ticking in the right direction at this range (as opposed to staying put), that would be a bit strange.

NAM in about an hour, followed by ICON Around 10, then GFS, EURO

Yeah I mean we've seen that in the cases where the euro caves...it's usually gradual, lol So I'd take any improvement as a plus!