Maestrobjwa

We don't know that...every model is jumping all over the place atm...no model has been stubbornly in one camp or the other, imo

Let all of this make the case for all the misery on these boards up and down the east coast. I don't wanna hear nobody say "Ah it's unreadable" The frickle you think it is? Because of how things are going...that such a mystery??? So inconceivable that people are upset about snow? Yeah they gonna spout off...This and the possible bad snow future is the worst thing that could happen here. I personally am frustrated and depressed. It's not "just weather" to me and I can just poo-poo it away as no big deal. It's something that needs to go better and it hasn't been, and I wanna frickin' smash something in a rage room right about now lookin' at the dang perfect tracks and psu's reminders of it not being cold enough (which then sparks fears and depression about the future and this continuing) Can't do a bit about the weather but it's like if it don't get better...it's frickin' depressing. DJF are the only 3 months...the rest of the time is peace because it's Spring, Summer, Fall where it's not supposed to snow. I'd hate it in the south...but maybe that's our future climo I don't know.

Problematic cold air mid-January...mercy, mercy, mercy. C'MON (turning into psu here, lol)

Man that this gonna be painful if it's warm...my goodness. Ack!!! But looking ahead...man if we can get even a LITTLE help from our cold reason and get something to track like that it'll be a storm. I hope past mid month we can get SOME cold up there. This split flow gives us a chance, imo

Yeah that's been a recipie for disaster the last few years...how many times do we see all juice and then....warm (or last year when the juice looked jawsy and got pulled NW)

Well you DID imply that snow north and west would at least be a little more normal...and there it is

Let the temps determine your jaws pbp...if the cold ain't there tell the orchestra to silencio until they hear the cold cue.

You're really not wrong about that--I mean seriously. Any lurkers here that were psych majors? I'd pay to hear a psychoanalysis of this forum, lol I mean I'd legit welcome it, actually--many of us have got to learn to cope better, seriously.

I don't see has convoluted when it really appears to be one element that determines the whole thing--the 50/50. But of course you could argue that the forming of the 50/50 itself is a bit convoluted and thread the needle, lol

Oh shoot I'm sorry--don't know why I was thinking ya had all sons, lol But yeah all the same...we feel ya, Nora!

Your son might be our spirit animal, lol But man that is sad though...

A fantastic job making a depressing post frickin' hilarious, lolol

What about last Jan? We had cold then, didn't we? And I can remember other cold Januarys since 2016 as well...and a few where the nina just didn't deliver favorable tracks and we were cold enough but missed the precip. So I can see one example (Feb 2020) where you can say warm...(maybe another Feb 2021), but I'm not seeing the warm Januarys you're seeing here. (Again, last year around this time we had a couple threats! And Feb just did what nina Febs do, imo)

We have a separate thread for this one. @ravensrule I'm sure you meant to the other post not this one.

Actually...If this one perfect tracks and rains...that's not only a problem for our climo but even further north up the corridor too...so at least we wouldn't be alone, lol I mean so far there has been a grand total of 1" for ALL the major 4 airports from BWI north! This everybody's "base state"?

That would be in a framed log book hanging on your wall of winter shame

Never am I more annoyed with an exclamation point than when you use them...because It's always a bad thing, lol

Just remember how wrong it was last month and you'll feel better

Maybe we should treat the next 4 days as one long model run...

We got a separate thread for that one

Sunday/Monday is always the line of demarcation for that next weekend system. If it completely falls apart we usually know by 12z Monday, lol

I mean that whole evolution is just dumbdy-dumb...Man what did they do to it? Lol

Alright it's official: GFS is on it's own...even against it's own family, lol Eta: Icon...so it's got one holdout hangin' with it, lol

Don't encourage him, lol

I think this may he the first rainbow I've seen in January...gorgeous nonetheless