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Stormlover74

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Everything posted by Stormlover74

  1. The one around st Patricks day came in at night and lasted thru the next morning. The one a few days later started late afternoon and was done by midnight (USAir crash at lga)
  2. It's possible but I'm thinking advisories
  3. Ukie came way north. Big hit for interior
  4. Ukie held serve but trended a bit drier
  5. Yeah it's still good for us on the cmc but got much worse for lower mid Atlantic
  6. If the other models hold I'll agree the gfs is out to lunch but if they trend north even a little it could be bad news
  7. I'm definitely hoping it's wrong. It could also swing back colder at 18z
  8. Right. That where it sucks. When other models have nothing and nam shows snow. When it's a borderline temp situation it's a different story
  9. The nam mostly sucks but does find the sneaky warm layers so it shouldn't be completely discounted. Rgem has been good but we haven't had this type of setup this winter
  10. Whats odd is the temps aren't that different from the nam. Still showing 33-34 during the peak
  11. It did shave off some off the southern edge but that mostly affects Philly to TTN
  12. Yeah 34/35 big difference from 32/33. At least no sun angle lol
  13. No but it does sniff out those sneaky warm layers like Dec 2020 but I'm certainly not going all in one way or the other off it
  14. Nam cut amounts esp south of 78. Next to nothing for me and allsnow and the rest of middlesex 3ks a little better
  15. I feel like the nws is mostly going with the warmer nam and gfs rather than the euro/rgem and seems to make sense being conservative at this juncture
  16. But in this case those are good trends..as long as gfs isn't leading the way
  17. Fridays ugly on the gfs. No frozen near the city Cmc a big hit south jersey mid Atlantic. Few inches elsewhere Ukie looks like a big hit incoming
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