cheese007

000 WTNT32 KNHC 142036 TCPAT2 BULLETIN Tropical Storm Kyle Advisory Number 1 NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL AL122020 500 PM EDT Fri Aug 14 2020 ...TROPICAL STORM KYLE FORMS OVER THE NORTHWEST ATLANTIC... ...FORECAST TO MOVE QUICKLY AWAY FROM LAND DURING THE NEXT FEW DAYS... SUMMARY OF 500 PM EDT...2100 UTC...INFORMATION ---------------------------------------------- LOCATION...37.7N 71.7W ABOUT 185 MI...300 KM SE OF ATLANTIC CITY NEW JERSEY MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...40 MPH...65 KM/H PRESENT MOVEMENT...ENE OR 65 DEGREES AT 17 MPH...28 KM/H MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...1008 MB...29.77 INCHES WATCHES AND WARNINGS -------------------- There are no coastal watches or warnings in effect. DISCUSSION AND OUTLOOK ---------------------- At 500 PM EDT (2100 UTC), the center of Tropical Storm Kyle was located near latitude 37.7 North, longitude 71.7 West. Kyle is moving toward the east-northeast near 17 mph (28 km/h). A continued east-northeastward motion with an increase in forward speed is expected for the next couple of days. Maximum sustained winds are near 40 mph (65 km/h) with higher gusts. Slight strengthening is possible tonight and tomorrow. Kyle is forecast to become post-tropical by late Sunday or early Monday. Tropical-storm-force winds extend outward up to 80 miles (130 km) from the center. The estimated minimum central pressure is 1008 mb (29.77 inches). HAZARDS AFFECTING LAND ---------------------- None NEXT ADVISORY ------------- Next complete advisory at 1100 PM EDT. $$ Forecaster Zelinsky

Thought I might start a thread since we tornado warnings occurring already and a watch covering much of southeastern MN

Healthy reminder that marginal != 0

They're also probably more than a little gun-shy due to the string of high-risk busts they've had over the past 6-ish years

Multiple severe thunderstorm warnings over the DFW area. More active afternoon than most of chasing season

Where is that ghost town? Would love to visit it!

Severe thunderstorm warning for Denton County in TX

Storms weakening a bit as they head into the metro

Surprise surprise, cap over DFW is still holding with no sign of breaking any time soon

Wouldn't be shocked. We're expected to have our weather a good bit later

Went to bed to a marginal risk and woke up to an enhanced with sig hail. TX weather is something+

May has been consistently mediocre the past several years for whatever reason. Makes one wonder if it's permanent?

Tor warning up by Wichita Falls

Just updated the thread title!

ZCZC SPCSWOD48 ALL ACUS48 KWNS 090856 SPC AC 090856 Day 4-8 Convective Outlook NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 0356 AM CDT Sat May 09 2020 Valid 121200Z - 171200Z ...DISCUSSION... Medium-range guidance is in good agreement that the upper pattern will trend more zonal by early next week, favoring deeper lee troughing and low-level moisture return across the Plains. The upper pattern is forecast to remain void of any systems strong and/or mature enough to scour the low-level moisture out of the Plains or MS Valley through the end of next week, setting the stages for an active week as subtle shortwave troughs and their attendant surface lows/front interact with the moist low levels. On each day the previous day's convective evolution will have a large influence on severe potential, leading to generally low predictability. The only exception is D5/Wednesday, which looks to be the first day where the favorable low-level moisture is far enough north of interact with a subtle shortwave ejecting into the central Plains. Supercell wind profiles and steep lapse rates will be in place to support severe potential with any storms that develop along the dryline. Severe potential exists on D6/Thursday, particularly from the central Plains into the mid MS Valley, but limited predictability and questions regarding the northeastward extent of the moisture return preclude outlooking any areas yet. Model solutions begin to diverge more after D6/Thursday, limiting forecast confidence. However, with favorable low-level moisture expected to remain in place across the Plains, some severe threat will persist into the weekend. ..Mosier.. 05/09/2020

Just went severe warned there

Supercell near Fort Worth still trucking. Dropping 2 inch hail

Got a D1 slight for parts of OK/TX, with some sig hatching for hail and wind. Not much but given the forecasts may be the most exciting things get for a while

Do wonder if that storm could make it intact to the metroplex

Over 120 confirmed tornadoes. Pretty incredible considering it was "only" a mod risk

108 confirmed tornadoes and counting. If this had happened last decade it would be in the top 10 largest outbreaks. Pretty incredible for "only" a mod risk

Some folks have no self preservation instinct it seems

"It's OK we're in the RFD" followed by something slamming into their vehicle makes me wonder about their chasing abilities...

Orangeberg might be next under the gun. Pop of over 10k. Roughly 10 or so warnings out right now. Just awful

Lotta warnings on the line atm. Hard to keep track of it all