cheese007

000 WTNT32 KNHC 142036 TCPAT2 BULLETIN Tropical Storm Kyle Advisory Number 1 NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL AL122020 500 PM EDT Fri Aug 14 2020 ...TROPICAL STORM KYLE FORMS OVER THE NORTHWEST ATLANTIC... ...FORECAST TO MOVE QUICKLY AWAY FROM LAND DURING THE NEXT FEW DAYS... SUMMARY OF 500 PM EDT...2100 UTC...INFORMATION ---------------------------------------------- LOCATION...37.7N 71.7W ABOUT 185 MI...300 KM SE OF ATLANTIC CITY NEW JERSEY MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...40 MPH...65 KM/H PRESENT MOVEMENT...ENE OR 65 DEGREES AT 17 MPH...28 KM/H MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...1008 MB...29.77 INCHES WATCHES AND WARNINGS -------------------- There are no coastal watches or warnings in effect. DISCUSSION AND OUTLOOK ---------------------- At 500 PM EDT (2100 UTC), the center of Tropical Storm Kyle was located near latitude 37.7 North, longitude 71.7 West. Kyle is moving toward the east-northeast near 17 mph (28 km/h). A continued east-northeastward motion with an increase in forward speed is expected for the next couple of days. Maximum sustained winds are near 40 mph (65 km/h) with higher gusts. Slight strengthening is possible tonight and tomorrow. Kyle is forecast to become post-tropical by late Sunday or early Monday. Tropical-storm-force winds extend outward up to 80 miles (130 km) from the center. The estimated minimum central pressure is 1008 mb (29.77 inches). HAZARDS AFFECTING LAND ---------------------- None NEXT ADVISORY ------------- Next complete advisory at 1100 PM EDT. $$ Forecaster Zelinsky

Thought I might start a thread since we tornado warnings occurring already and a watch covering much of southeastern MN

Healthy reminder that marginal != 0

They're also probably more than a little gun-shy due to the string of high-risk busts they've had over the past 6-ish years

Multiple severe thunderstorm warnings over the DFW area. More active afternoon than most of chasing season

May has been consistently mediocre the past several years for whatever reason. Makes one wonder if it's permanent?

Got a big D4/D5 risk out this morning from SPC. Something to watch...

Significant shift in the slight risk placement today. SPC seems to be expecting some hailers up in the TX/OK panhandle area

Westher has been so nice yet we're gonna be stuck inside all summer. Sucks after we essentially had no fall last year

Watch just issued with high tor probs

Watch just issued. High tor probs

Still don't think we've gone more than a month since October without a high over 80. At this rate summer will be absolutely brutal

TV mets already hyping mid next week. At this point I know better

Severe threat diminishing per NWS

The closest thing we get to winter weather nowadays is hail

More cold but not cold enough precip in store for next week. Looking like the 2nd February in a row with above average precip with no eintry weather to show for it

Oh my God it's sleeting in far north dallas! At a decent clip too! EDIT: Well that was a fun 30 seconds

Looking like even more of a bust than expected here in south Ft. Worth. Not a lick of cold rain, much less sleet/snow

NWS moved things a smidge SE. Not enough to matter for Dallas but it's something

I also want more SE so I don't have to commute

Latest thinking from FWD. Further dialed back precip amounts

Can't believe a DFW winter event fell apart within 24 hours of when it was supoosed to occur and we'll be left with 33 degree cold rain. Who could have seen that coming? Just bring on spring already and put this winter out of its misery

Latest AFD mentions that the Tarrant/Denton county lines will likely be the dividing one between wintry precip and cold rain. Local forecast has had temps shited up 4-5 degrees. Can't catch a break

Models don't seem to keen on anything making it into the metroplex EDIT: Winter storm watch expanded westward, includes Tarrant and Denton counties

NWS hourly for my area seems bullish with a significant chance of accumulating snow and sleet. Hard not to get my hopes up