cheese007

Tornado Warning MSC035-073-200115- /O.NEW.KJAN.TO.W.0044.200420T0044Z-200420T0115Z/ BULLETIN - EAS ACTIVATION REQUESTED Tornado Warning National Weather Service Jackson MS 744 PM CDT Sun Apr 19 2020 The National Weather Service in Jackson has issued a * Tornado Warning for... East central Forrest County in southeastern Mississippi... East central Lamar County in southeastern Mississippi... * Until 815 PM CDT. * At 744 PM CDT, a confirmed large and extremely dangerous tornado was located near Baxterville, or 15 miles southwest of West Hattiesburg, moving east at 55 mph. This is a PARTICULARLY DANGEROUS SITUATION. TAKE COVER NOW! HAZARD...Damaging tornado. SOURCE...Weather spotters confirmed tornado. IMPACT...You are in a life-threatening situation. Flying debris may be deadly to those caught without shelter. Mobile homes will be destroyed. Considerable damage to homes, businesses, and vehicles is likely and complete destruction is possible. * The tornado will be near... Mclaurin around 805 PM CDT. PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... To repeat, a large, extremely dangerous and potentially deadly tornado is on the ground. To protect your life, TAKE COVER NOW! Move to a basement or an interior room on the lowest floor of a sturdy building. Avoid windows. If you are outdoors, in a mobile home, or in a vehicle, move to the closest substantial shelter and protect yourself from flying debris. && LAT...LON 3109 8939 3127 8938 3131 8915 3112 8915 TIME...MOT...LOC 0044Z 258DEG 49KT 3115 8954 TORNADO...OBSERVED TORNADO DAMAGE THREAT...CONSIDERABLE HAIL...1.75IN $$ DC

Seems familiar...

Damage on Brett's stream

It looked super wide from the bit of it that Brett had on stream

https://livestormchasing.com/map Brett is here, Reed is on his personal FB page

Good reminder that all it takes is one!

Might be on Reed's stream as well? Camera keeps flinging around

Something on Brett's stream

Boy that escalated quickly...

Unbelievably dark on Reed's stream

Brandon Clements stream on livestormchasing looks ominous

Mesoscale Discussion 0408 NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 0303 PM CDT Sun Apr 19 2020 Areas affected...central AL Concerning...Severe potential...Tornado Watch likely Valid 192003Z - 192200Z Probability of Watch Issuance...80 percent SUMMARY...Thunderstorms will likely intensify over the next several hours across central AL. Timing of a tornado watch issuance will be dependent on short-term convective trends from storms currently over east-central MS. DISCUSSION...Radar imagery shows a west-east cluster of strong thunderstorms located from east-central MS through central AL. The thunderstorm activity is located to the north of a composite outflow/warm front draped from the southeast corner of AL west-northwestward into central MS. It appears storm development during the next few hours will largely cross the warm front and become elevated but potentially yield some risk for hail/locally damaging gusts. Later this afternoon and especially during the evening, a mid-level shortwave trough will move east into the ArkLaTex. Additional storm development and storms moving into the area from the west, will pose an increasing risk for severe. Low-level shear is forecast to strengthen through the early evening. A tornado risk will tend to focus with any surface-based supercells. However, the damaging wind risk may concentrate with quickly moving bowing segments that may preferentially move eastward along and slightly north of the warm front. ..Smith/Hart.. 04/19/2020 ...Please see www.spc.noaa.gov for graphic product... ATTN...WFO...TAE...BMX...MOB...JAN... LAT...LON 32908836 32768657 31908554 31298570 31568842 32908836

URGENT - IMMEDIATE BROADCAST REQUESTED Tornado Watch Number 122 NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 240 PM CDT Sun Apr 19 2020 The NWS Storm Prediction Center has issued a * Tornado Watch for portions of Much of Louisiana Southwest Mississippi Southeast Texas Coastal Waters * Effective this Sunday afternoon and evening from 240 PM until 1000 PM CDT. * Primary threats include... A few tornadoes likely with a couple intense tornadoes possible Scattered large hail and isolated very large hail events to 2.5 inches in diameter likely Scattered damaging wind gusts to 70 mph likely SUMMARY...Thunderstorms are expected to develop across east Texas this afternoon and spread eastward across the watch area through the evening. Large hail and damaging winds are likely with the most intense cells. The risk of a few tornadoes is also increasing as winds aloft strengthen. Strong tornadoes are possible. The tornado watch area is approximately along and 150 statute miles east and west of a line from 40 miles west northwest of Alexandria LA to 65 miles southwest of Intracoastal City LA. For a complete depiction of the watch see the associated watch outline update (WOUS64 KWNS WOU2). PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... REMEMBER...A Tornado Watch means conditions are favorable for tornadoes and severe thunderstorms in and close to the watch area. Persons in these areas should be on the lookout for threatening weather conditions and listen for later statements and possible warnings. && OTHER WATCH INFORMATION...CONTINUE...WW 120...WW 121... AVIATION...Tornadoes and a few severe thunderstorms with hail surface and aloft to 2.5 inches. Extreme turbulence and surface wind gusts to 60 knots. A few cumulonimbi with maximum tops to 500. Mean storm motion vector 25035. ...Hart

Mesoscale Discussion 0407 NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 0203 PM CDT Sun Apr 19 2020 Areas affected...southeast TX...southern and central LA Concerning...Severe potential...Tornado Watch likely Valid 191903Z - 192000Z Probability of Watch Issuance...95 percent SUMMARY...A new tornado watch will likely be needed before the expiration of tornado watch #120 at 3pm CDT for much of central and southern LA. A local extension-in-time can be utilized for the area near Galveston Bay for existing tornado watch #120. DISCUSSION...The risk for severe thunderstorms will likely continue over the Sabine River Valley through the afternoon. The airmass has destabilized over southern LA according to the 18z Lake Charles sounding. A notable weakness in the flow, evident around 600mb, will likely lessen with time as the mid-level shortwave trough over the southern Great Plains continues to approach the northwest Gulf Coast. Additional storm activity is expected over LA later this afternoon with hail/wind the expected hazards with the stronger storms. The more intense/persistent low-level mesocyclones will be associated with a conditional risk for tornadoes. The 17z RAP forecast soundings indicate the most favorable combination of enlarged hodographs and instability will focus during the late afternoon through the early evening. ..Smith/Hart.. 04/19/2020 ...Please see www.spc.noaa.gov for graphic product... ATTN...WFO...JAN...LIX...LCH...SHV... LAT...LON 30819446 31229415 31999306 32229206 31309205 30969170 30959070 29369118 29629379 30089429 30819446

D2 enhanced up for the Carolinas. Looks like another multi-day event

Mesoscale Discussion 0405 NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 1239 PM CDT Sun Apr 19 2020 Areas affected...upper coast of TX...southwest LA Concerning...Tornado Watch 120... Valid 191739Z - 191845Z The severe weather threat for Tornado Watch 120 continues. SUMMARY...Convective trends towards a supercellular convective mode are increasing as 700mb flow intensifies this afternoon. Large to very large hail is possible with the mature supercells. A tornado risk will probably accompany the stronger/more persistent low-level mesocyclones. DISCUSSION...Radar imagery trends over the past hour are showing warm sector development of storms acquiring some intermittent rotation north of the greater Houston area. A robust supercell has also recently developed to the north of Matagorda Bay moving towards the south side of the Houston metro during the next few hours. The boundary layer across the upper coast of TX continues to destabilize as temperatures warm through the 70s and into the lower 80s near Galveston Bay. As storms continue to gradually intensify during the early afternoon, coincident with the aforementioned strengthening flow in the low to mid levels, the risk for a tornado and large to very large hail will correspondingly increase with the strongest storms. Short-term model guidance is suggesting at least some severe activity will move across the Galveston Bay vicinity and into southwest LA and the near-shore waters during the next 2-4 hours. ..Smith.. 04/19/2020 ...Please see www.spc.noaa.gov for graphic product... ATTN...WFO...LCH...SHV...HGX... LAT...LON 29209642 30889521 31379385 31239319 30769295 30039322 28549565 29209642

Wonder what it looks like in those high rises?

Might see some half dollar hail in Dallas, TX in a bit

Correct me if I'm wrong but isn't Broyles famous for being... "generous" with his risk forecasts?

Considering how prolific Sunday ended up being, that says a lot

Over 120 confirmed tornadoes. Pretty incredible considering it was "only" a mod risk

108 confirmed tornadoes and counting. If this had happened last decade it would be in the top 10 largest outbreaks. Pretty incredible for "only" a mod risk

Some folks have no self preservation instinct it seems

"It's OK we're in the RFD" followed by something slamming into their vehicle makes me wonder about their chasing abilities...

Orangeberg might be next under the gun. Pop of over 10k. Roughly 10 or so warnings out right now. Just awful