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jbenedet

Meteorologist
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Everything posted by jbenedet

  1. jbenedet
    Yea mostly sunny here already. Better north today. But drier air working in. A meso surface high also working in from the west ...may take til 11am - 12pm for you, but sun on its way...
  2. jbenedet
    Today looks much better than guidance. N wind, but dry air really working in now and skies already partly cloudy...mid to upper levels aren’t nearly as cold as you’d think given the Synoptics, so most of us who get the early April sun can easily push well into the 50’s...
  3. jbenedet
    Still thinking early next week is a northern mid Atlantic, extreme southern New England event. I actually favor Long Island on south for best dynamics. Blocking is quite significant around that timeframe. Better than 50% chance it ends up a mostly sunny day up here...
  4. jbenedet
    Maybe. Up here, I could be 50’s and sunny with surface high over head... First look is —NAO appears significant (not marginal) so snow chances may be more in the areas that are most challenged with climo right now—northern mid Atlantic and Southern portions of SNE.
  5. jbenedet
    Big -NAO incoming. Just in time for spring... Hopefully confluence is significant enough to send the doors down to ACY/Maryland —can make for pretty nice weather up here, if this pattern wants to lock in, in early April.
  6. jbenedet
    Haven’t been following the disco in the Coronavirus thread, but yea, there’s clearly an observable pattern between early spring time temps and most efficient spread of the virus. Research has also pointed to the same thing—two separate studies. One indicating 47F “peak” for spread, another 0-15C. Long story short, this is the only time you’ll see me cheering for late March/April snow. Then bring on a torch please...
  7. jbenedet
    I can confirm. I road tripped down to Florida thurs/fri, and didn’t see leaf out and widespread green grasses until in central/southern parts of South Carolina. Understood this to be —in large part—a result of Jan-March CONUS pattern, with dominant pacific that results in negative T anomalies in the southeast but significant positive anomalies in the northern mid Atlantic and especially Northeast.
  8. jbenedet
    Ah never was on the inside of that joke...
  9. jbenedet
    Interesting. Can you elaborate on that with the context of this winter ? Or @OSUmetstud?
  10. jbenedet
    This winter has been most remarkable in its lack of cold air. Numerous significant “cold” fronts immediately followed by AN temps. This morning I was shocked to see the car therm read 28F at 6a.m. in late February after ~12 hrs of gusty northwesterly winds.
  11. jbenedet
    Looks like a persistence forecast. Especially for our region...
  12. jbenedet
    Yea. There was also another Nor Easter last year where the SLP ran over SE Mass but dumped widespread 30”+ in Upstate NY, near Binghamton area. That was due to a similar situarion as this with the mid level tracks being displaced well to the west.
  13. jbenedet
    Yea unless you live at the base of a mountain. Tell me about it.
  14. jbenedet
    Careful you’re starting to sound like a
  15. jbenedet
    Yea this is incredible. More than the past two seasons combined I’d say...
  16. jbenedet
    AWT. That’s awesome. Band has been fun up here but def not the epic rates you’re seeing in eastern MA. I think Nashua NH area got in the best of it as well.
  17. jbenedet
    Awesome. We salute you.
  18. jbenedet
    What did you just pick up in the past hr? 5”?
  19. jbenedet
    Yea well I guess by that if you take 5 hrs and avg 2.4/hr you’re at a foot. Not quite sure why it’s unreasonable given the context. Coastal MA has a lot of catching up to do in term of those euro qpf totals. Just sayin’ We’ll see...
  20. jbenedet
    There’s another band developing in behind it. Also 1-3 is kind of a wide range —no? 40 dbz is 4”+ type calibur given the context I would think...
  21. jbenedet
    Nice. BOS is good for snow through 11 pm and this looks like heavy snow to the end.
  22. jbenedet
    Call me a weenie, if you want but I think BOS will tack on close to a foot from that band. It’s tightening up and will have some epic rates associated with it... perfect timing too in terms of limiting ISR and BL impacts...
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