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jbenedet

Meteorologist
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Everything posted by jbenedet

  1. jbenedet
    Tropical feeling out there today is legit. Especially with the breeze. Yep a TS is incoming.
  2. jbenedet
    Looks like a TS...
  3. jbenedet
    Another nighttime low >/= 70, and another night with short term guidance busting low. Starting to think I should regularly use an N+5 correction for this....
  4. jbenedet
    Well about 72 hrs out from my post. NHC already assigned 10% chance to this wave...Still think this wave will be most interesting to watch this week.
  5. jbenedet
    Looks like development of next threat is about ~84 hrs out. At least that’s what GEFS/GFS is hinting at. Tropical wave passing through Florida strait/over southern Florida and into Gulf of Mexico—general track towards western Gulf coast.
  6. jbenedet
    Quite the blow up of convection off the Texas Coast...
  7. jbenedet
    Would think this is adequate for a 10% lemon, over next day or two. A weak cold front is expected to move off the southeastern U.S. coast early next week, then stall over the northern Florida offshore waters through Wed. Low pressure may form along the front. The front will weaken into a trough from Wed into Thu. While this takes place, a trough will linger between South Florida and the NW Bahamas. Expect unsettled weather conditions over the waters in the vicinity of the Bahamas and westward to the Florida coast for the next few days. $$ Ramos
  8. jbenedet
    We have a -NAO/ -AO pattern developing in the eastern CONUS—synoptic scale troughing will predominate. I’m thinking sell the tracks into Texas, and look from central LA coast to panhandle Fla as biggest risk. Also hedge on the faster/more progressive side of guidance...6z GEFS really picking this up...
  9. jbenedet
    Tropical disturbance near Florida, on the Gulf side would appear Lemon worthy....
  10. jbenedet
    I remember when I first moved here and was wowed by the prospect of snow in May. I also believed anything more than a flake was strictly reserved for the white mtn region....clearly having to rethink that especially given we’re 9 days into it. We’re missing accums by a few degrees, it seems, but otherwise generally impressed with the rates and lack of mixing.... Should be great for the garden and lawn.... despite the wintry appeal.
  11. jbenedet
    Yea. There was also another Nor Easter last year where the SLP ran over SE Mass but dumped widespread 30”+ in Upstate NY, near Binghamton area. That was due to a similar situarion as this with the mid level tracks being displaced well to the west.
  12. jbenedet
    Yea unless you live at the base of a mountain. Tell me about it.
  13. jbenedet
    Careful you’re starting to sound like a
  14. jbenedet
    Yea this is incredible. More than the past two seasons combined I’d say...
  15. jbenedet
    AWT. That’s awesome. Band has been fun up here but def not the epic rates you’re seeing in eastern MA. I think Nashua NH area got in the best of it as well.
  16. jbenedet
    Awesome. We salute you.
  17. jbenedet
    What did you just pick up in the past hr? 5”?
  18. jbenedet
    Yea well I guess by that if you take 5 hrs and avg 2.4/hr you’re at a foot. Not quite sure why it’s unreasonable given the context. Coastal MA has a lot of catching up to do in term of those euro qpf totals. Just sayin’ We’ll see...
  19. jbenedet
    There’s another band developing in behind it. Also 1-3 is kind of a wide range —no? 40 dbz is 4”+ type calibur given the context I would think...
  20. jbenedet
    Nice. BOS is good for snow through 11 pm and this looks like heavy snow to the end.
  21. jbenedet
    Call me a weenie, if you want but I think BOS will tack on close to a foot from that band. It’s tightening up and will have some epic rates associated with it... perfect timing too in terms of limiting ISR and BL impacts...
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