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romba

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Everything posted by romba

  1. romba
    Usually Kuchera shows much more ‘realistic’ totals for those marginal snow storms, but with this it shows more consistently. Is that due to potential ratios? Does it take wind into account?
  2. romba
    Yea let’s discuss ICON instead lol. It’s between global runs, we need SOMETHING to look at, so the NAM it is
  3. romba
    LOCK HER UP....err I mean LOCK IT IN
  4. romba
    12Z Euro: UKIE GFS CMC
  5. romba
    About to crush
  6. romba
    Edit: already posted
  7. romba
    Cut those totals in half and we’re still talking about a BEAST of a storm wow
  8. romba
  9. romba
    0Z Ukie showed no snow for the city, LI, and immediately N and W of the city.
  10. romba
    A blend would be really nice...
  11. romba
    GGEM OP was on board for a big event until this afternoon.
  12. romba
    Canadian says No
  13. romba
    I think the Para GFS has had more head-fakes than the original.
  14. romba
    Too often those HPs slowly back off and we get Cut
  15. romba
    Euro with a nice track, weak on precip:
  16. romba
    At least we don't have 3 inches of salt accumulating on bone dry surfaces that you can taste whenever there's the slightest breeze outside. It's the little victories these days.
  17. romba
    I’m probably totally off base here, but where were these studies when we were buried under snow year in and year out just a few years back? Increased water temps lead to more snow and amped systems, until it doesn’t and then the increased warmth leads to warmth and no snow. I’m not familiar with the research, but it just seems to match whatever temporary cycle we currently are in, which is a huge issue in general with data and research nowadays.
  18. romba
    We've had a few the past few years at the peak of winter, it just hasn't worked out. Alot of 'surface reflectivity not matching the upper levels' and 'precip field is catching up to the changes aloft' that never manifested. OTOH, during our feast years I remember a number of coastal huggers bombing off and producing solid snow for the coast.
  19. romba
    True, but a bit hyperbolic. 48 hours you tend to get a solid picture of even the more complex systems. At 72 hrs most models are close enough to each other to know a real risk or not. But anything more than that is just popcorn fodder.
  20. romba
  21. romba
    84 hr 18z NAM
  22. romba
    12Z Euro with a pressure drop of 12 mb in 6 hours
  23. romba
    Our forum in a nutshell the past 3+ years
  24. romba
    define 'dumped on' lol
  25. romba
    https://www.washingtonpost.com/weather/2020/10/28/hurricane-zeta-track-louisiana/ Flight-level winds during a midafternoon Hurricane Hunter reconnaissance flight hit 138 mph; extrapolated down to the surface, that would suggest 101 mph winds at the surface. A dropsonde, or probe, released shortly after found a surface wind of 115 mph in the southern eyewall. That would indicate Zeta is near or at major hurricane status. The National Hurricane Center did not upgrade Zeta in their most recent advisory, raising the potential that the measurement was suspect. Regardless, Zeta continues to increase in strength and could approach Category 3 intensity as it makes landfall. NHC: 115 mph winds? Naaahhh, we toss
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