romba

You might have been looking at last night's run

If I see one more mention of an oncoming pattern-flip I'm gonna pattern-flip lol

Every correction has led to less expected frozen this winter

EPS is clearly concerned about view count and its SM presence, needs to keep the masses reeled in lol

And 40's and rain for April

Now we're talkin

Lol you too were just about ready to throw in the towel after this past weekend's headfake. It can break even the most optimistic weenie. Resorting to a name change though to change our mojo though, that I approve of

Raging Pacific jet stream, or so I've been told, and this happened last year as well until March when the pattern finally shifted

This needs to be pinned. Second winter in a row of this crap. Cue the 'Oh but the second half of March looks good for a pattern change' aka more cold rain and white rain for the metro in March and April who wants that. Summer and swimsuits at this point, let's just get it over with!

No consistency within each model. Blow it all up and start from scratch. Baby steps- lick your finger and hold it up to the wind and take it from there

I hope they over-salt your street 4 times in anticipation of this weekends blockbuster

Never understood this- why would the model struggle translating what it depicts in the upper atmosphere to the surface?

We tend to remember the anomalies that end up crushing, and forget the million others that 'trend' better only to still end up mood flakes versus completely OTS. That said, I'm hanging on every model run holding out hope we hit the lottery this time

50's and t storms baby

The models have shown everything and anything at one point with nearly every storm this season and last, so saying 'the models showed a big hit previously and now show nothing, this is where we want to be!' is foolish. What amazes me is that we are supposedly within the GFS wheelhouse but it still changes so often. At least the Euro has been pretty consistent. It sees what it sees, until some new data causes an adjustment and it changes. The GFS seems to change every 6 hours on a whim. Maybe if it were twice a day this wouldn't seem as big of an issue to me.

Good thing then that GFS didn't show 'a hit'

Add JMA + DeepThunder and we're locked and loaded

Clown Map, as requested

Lol but the drastic temp swings seem more in the direction we’re heading. Yes on average the temp is going up, but 70 one week in Jan and then 20 the next is not a healthy recipe for tropical wildlife I would think

Models have been trending drier recently it seems. Also look at the snow depth when available to help temper expectations as well.

12z RGEM

UKIE?

It’s turned Sunday from a cutter/hugger to the almost ideal track for now on most models. Hopefully the models have keyed in on tomorrow’s system properly at this point and we see no more SE shifts for Sunday’s system, but still a possibility of course

4-8+