Chris78

Eastern areas are really in a sweet spot.

It's it done though?

It's pretty bad to be honest. Looks at all the low placements. Not many would get us into any qpf.

Feels like an all or nothing system for next week. Makes me nervous not having a slug if moisture coming up from the Southwest of us. Basically relying on the system to amplify to the south at the right time and early enough. High bust potential if the system gets going 6 hours to late.

06z euro was definitely more amped up compared to 00z. The next 12 hours on the euro was going to be rippage

I think the cmc is going to be good

Ready for spring

Probably a good thing. Confluence looks a little weaker up north

Compared to climo yes we have been shafted but it happens some years. It all balances out. Southern parts of our region are above climo already. I'm a little over 50% right now with about 4 weeks left. Going to need a good finish to get there. Our 2 biggest storms this year that gave double digits south were 4" and 2" snows in the north respectively. I'm not complaining but just saying compared to Climo it hasn't been a great year for the Northern crew so far. It's happens some years.

Not going to post this in the MA forum but Seeing the eps mean really is discouraging. I don't really care if it shows 3" for us. Shows double for southern MD and we've seen enough of this, this season to know how it goes. As you've alluded to probably have another 2 or 3 days before we know more but it wouldn't shock me to see another south of DC Jack. I want to see this amped up as much as possible. I'll take my chances with mixing.

Not gonna lie. That map is irritating. Lol

Pass

2/11-12 - 2.25" Seasonal total - 15.5"

I remember thinking he's either going to be the smartest man in the room or look like a fool. Of course at that point models weren't openly available to the public so his such low totals made me wonder if he was seeing something no one else was. just turned out to be fool.

I think it was 96 he was sticking with 3 - 6 about 24 hours before when everyone else was going 2 ft. It may of been one of the other HECS but I'm pretty sure it was 96.

Hope next week hits. I'm only at about 55% of climo. Have 4 weeks roughly to get there.

Hrrr really does suck for winter events

I might of overestimated when Eyeballing. 2" otg

Snowing lightly. Almost 18 hours straight. 2"

Gfs and maybe the Nam a little are the only 2 models that snows on us Saturday morning. Not buying it.

Woke up to surprisely more snow. Haven't measured yet but looks like atleast 3 maybe more.

Unfortunately the model with the least amount of snow was correct for North and West Shocking I know

After 8 hours of snowfall roads finally caved lol. 1" on non paved surfaces. Dusting on roads.

We're really getting screwed with this storm lol

Your doing better than here. Flurries here right now. I've got .5 on the deck but nothing has accumulated the last 4 hours.