It really amazes me how good the euro is. Sure it can have big swings the further you go out in time like all models do but once you get to that 4 to 5 day timeframe its generally pretty right. All other models will be against it and they all eventually adjust towards the euro. Not always but in general they all do.
Ive learned over the years not to fully get on board with an event if the euros not feeling it.