Chris78
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Everything posted by Chris78
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Still far enough out for that to happen. We need one of those pesky Northern stream vorts over new england.Any time we don't need one there's always one up there lol.
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Huge difference with 2m temps between 18z and 00z
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Is this what the ukie does?
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Plus it has a vort diving down to the northwest of the great lakes that should suppress the flow over the northeast.
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@yoda How does the 18z Euro look for Thursday?
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Where's the northern stream running interference like it has every opportunity so far lol We need a nicely timed vort to slide down on Saturday to suppress heights.
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This would be extremely frustrating to me if it played out like this. 2 " for me. 12" 15 miles north of me I rather have the rain/snow line in buffalo lol.
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Cmc is less amped as well. Still rains but a nice shift. Wonder if were starting to see a shift to the south.
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Here's a good visual of how the GEFS snows on us with the follow up wave. You can see the lead wave exiting Maine with the follow up in a good spot for us.
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Consensus seems to be 1 to 3 inches for the northern and western tiers.
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There actually pretty good agreement between the gfs/fv3 and the Euro for a rain to snow scenario for the weekend. I know they normally don't work out well for us but should be an interesting week of tracking.
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The agreement on the GEFS for a major storm at day 10+ is crazy. Going to be a fun 6 weeks of tracking.
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No thanks lol
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Straight out of the gulf of Mexico. Would be an epic storm.
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I think this scenario is plausible though. The first low is mix/ rain and drags the front across the area. With a secondary low forming south of us on the tail end of the front. It takes perfect timing though so who knows.
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That storm was quite memorable. Took me 6 hours to go from Frederick to Hagerstown on route 70. Cars abandoned everywhere along the highway.
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Is the backend snow plausible or unrealistic like backend snow normally is lol.
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Icon was a nice improvement compared to the 00z run. Wouldn't take much of an adjustment for a more snowier result.
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The nam runs from yesterday look pretty accurate lol.
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Picked up another inch over the past few hours. Storm total of 3.75 in Smithsburg.
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Wow! Over 5". Nice . I70 in washington,county was kind of the deviding line. I'm just under 3" and I've seem some 5 to 6" reports in the southern parts. I think the models really nailed the cut off of this storm really well.
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It's about 3 miles south of me. Been there for the last hour.
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West of 81 could be in Great shape. Unfortunately when the north and west crew gets our best snows, it doesn't ussually end well for DC and points Se.
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No please send it north to the M/D line lol.
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I hope so. I've been watching it for the last few hours. It's moving so slow im afraid it's going to start the pivot south and east before it gets here.
