Jump to content

Chris78

Members
 View Profile  See their activity

  • Posts

    4,048

  • Joined

  • Last visited

 Content Type 

Everything posted by Chris78

  1. Chris78
    Agree. Great track. Cmc has a track west of us like the Euro did. Hard to have much faith in the GFS details being correct with as much flip flopping as it's done.
  2. Chris78
    850's below 0 n+w of dc through out but surface is torching. Upper 30's to around 40.
  3. Chris78
    Do you have a link to the ncep maps?
  4. Chris78
    If we can score something around the 3rd or 4th it would make the following week much more bearable until the pattern hopefully gets right for good after the 15th or so. If we don't score something in the first 4 or 5 days of January it might take to the last 10 days of month. I didn't think December was going to be off the charts great but I also didn't think I would be waiting 2 months between seeing snowflakes...lol
  5. Chris78
    At this range the GEFS will play follow the leader. GFS showed rain so it's not surprising the members are also showing rain. I agree the best bet will be wet not white but the fv3 is very close to some snow atleast at the onset.
  6. Chris78
    Fv3 doesn't have the best snow algorithm but this shows how close we are to something good.
  7. Chris78
    Fv3 so close to a good hit for the pre NYE threat. We need about a 50 to 100 mile shift for the cold push and we would be in business. Fv3 is basically a 3 to 6 inch storm up in central/southern pa
  8. Chris78
    12 euro looks close for 12/30 Just going off of TT. Looks like a good track for the weak low that skirts under us. Hard to tell though from the 24 hour maps
  9. Chris78
    Wow! That's very good agreement. If the 18z shows a cutter then all the mini me's will show a cutter also lol. Seems like inside of 10 days there's not much spread.
  10. Chris78
    The models are having a hard time fiquiring out how much energy to send out of the SW. The runs that are giving us a chance at multiple events are sending it out in pieces. The runs that wait and send it all out at once cut way west nd rain on us. Seems to be flipping every model run Njaed by 87storms
  11. Chris78
    How does the individual members look on the GEFS for the NYE threat? The mean looks ok on TT.
  12. Chris78
    Happy hour delivers!
  13. Chris78
    Is that for the day 10 to 15 period?
  14. Chris78
    GEFS continues to key in on the threat around the 1st. Would be a great way to start out the new year.
  15. Chris78
    Different storm bro Here's our happy New Year rain storm.
  16. Chris78
    Not an awful look at the end of the Run. Not there yet but you can see it heading in the direction we want.
  17. Chris78
    I'd drink a few more bottles if that happened lol.
  18. Chris78
    Yep. Because it ain't pretty right after our 2-3 day threat window.
  19. Chris78
    I still have hope for something around Christmas. We're not that far off from a small/med. Event. Nice high pressure to the north and Northwest.
  20. Chris78
    I think we can still have a good winter but I have always thought to have a special winter would require us to score a time or 2 in December. I was hoping the AO was going to be more in the negative territory for December. That is concerning to me.
  21. Chris78
    That actually looks like a good set up.
  22. Chris78
    GEFS white Christmas??
  23. Chris78
    Great write up as usual @showmethesnow. I enjoy reading your write ups in the morning. I agree that if we can lessen the dump into the SW there may be just enough cold air around for Christmas to deliver white rather then wet.
  24. Chris78
    This looks like @showmethesnow overrunnning Christmas eve event.
  25. Chris78
    I'm waving the white flag for this weekend. Hoping for stronger confluence for next weekend. Next Saturday/Sunday has my interest.
×
×
  • Create New...