What's your thoughts on the CCB tomorrow? Seems we are a bit to far west. Frederick east looks to have a shot. We should still see some lighter snow/ snow showers throughout the day.
As much as we try to discredit the nam I got to give it some credit. I believe it was the first to show the CCB developing to far north and now most other models show that to some extent.
It was also the first to show the north movement of the storm back in December.
You , losetoa6 and PSU seem to be in a great spot .
Im the same Latitude as you all but a bit further west. I might miss the best stuff just to my east.
Time will tell.
Just looking forward to sledding with my kidos tomorrow.
Delayed usually means denied for us lol.
I was much more optimistic a week ago.
It just seems every time an issue gets resolved another pops up to insure we miss either south or north.
If you loop the last several days of GFS runs it's comical or sad how many waves miss us to the south and then we have a cutter then another wave misses to the south.
It's really hard to beleive how much we need to go right for it to snow.
Looking through the individual members on the eps I would say alot of them do not agree with the OP.
With being 8+ days out you'll always get some scattershot but there were a nice mix of flush hits and southern hits with DC on the northern fringe.
I really liked seeing those southern hits mixed in if we are worried about a cutter that gets to Michagan.
Seems like the models are hinting at another opportunity around the end of the month.
Gfs has Snow to ice to rain/dry slot even with the primary out by Chicago.
I like this run better than the 12z even though it took 6 inches of blue away from me lol. Even with that pesky great lakes low with that kind of track I would of thought the outcome would of been better.