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Chris78

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Everything posted by Chris78

  1. Seeing that to here Smithsburg just west of the Mount in Washington County.
  2. Intensity starting to pick up now. Moderate snow. Temp dropped to 26.
  3. What's your thoughts on the CCB tomorrow? Seems we are a bit to far west. Frederick east looks to have a shot. We should still see some lighter snow/ snow showers throughout the day.
  4. As much as we try to discredit the nam I got to give it some credit. I believe it was the first to show the CCB developing to far north and now most other models show that to some extent. It was also the first to show the north movement of the storm back in December.
  5. Thank you for posting the maps but one is 10/1 the other is kuchera
  6. A good namming is harder to come by these days lol
  7. You would think alot of those low positions would get dc and on north into the CCB . Maybe even a bit south of DC into the good stuff
  8. You , losetoa6 and PSU seem to be in a great spot . Im the same Latitude as you all but a bit further west. I might miss the best stuff just to my east. Time will tell. Just looking forward to sledding with my kidos tomorrow.
  9. 26 degrees coming over the catoctins. 30 degrees back home in Smithsburg.
  10. 12/14 - .50" 12/16-17 - 9.0" snow/sleet 12/18 - .25" 12/25 - .25" 1/20 - .25" 1/25 - .25" Seasonal total - 10.50"
  11. 12/14 - .50" 12/16-17 - 9.0 snow/sleet 12/18 - .25" 12/25 - .25" 1/20 - .25" Seasonal total - 10.25"
  12. Not that extrapolating the JMA is smart or really using it at all lol but that look should deliver atleast a front end thumping.
  13. Delayed usually means denied for us lol. I was much more optimistic a week ago. It just seems every time an issue gets resolved another pops up to insure we miss either south or north. If you loop the last several days of GFS runs it's comical or sad how many waves miss us to the south and then we have a cutter then another wave misses to the south. It's really hard to beleive how much we need to go right for it to snow.
  14. Looking through the individual members on the eps I would say alot of them do not agree with the OP. With being 8+ days out you'll always get some scattershot but there were a nice mix of flush hits and southern hits with DC on the northern fringe. I really liked seeing those southern hits mixed in if we are worried about a cutter that gets to Michagan.
  15. Seems like the models are hinting at another opportunity around the end of the month. Gfs has Snow to ice to rain/dry slot even with the primary out by Chicago.
  16. I like this run better than the 12z even though it took 6 inches of blue away from me lol. Even with that pesky great lakes low with that kind of track I would of thought the outcome would of been better.
  17. That's the best eps snow mean we have had since the December storm. GREAT trends today
  18. A good air mass out in front and great blocking. It's been a while since we had real blocking.
  19. What are the odds of this missing us? Lol It's got to find a way to avoid blueing us.
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