Seems like models are beginning to converge on the northern and western parts of the sub. Seeing flakes. With as warm as its been and the system being weak and moisture starved its hard to imagine this being anymore than a coating to maybe an inch. But any snow is good snow and begggers cant be choosers lol.
The farther west you are the better shot you have Tuesday morning of seeing something. Alot of the individual members look like the op. Looks like west of I -81 has the best shot at an inch or 2. Lets hope we can push things further east a bit. Speeding it up 6 hours would make a difference also.
The 00z cmc would be a nice spirit lifter. Would be nice to score next week during the short window of opportunity we have.
Edit : GFS has the storm also but develops it to late for us.
Definitey deflating. Last year the weeklies gave us great looks after great looks that never materalized. That gives me some hope that they may not be right past 2 to 3 weeks. Problem is this year its going with persistance. Looking more and more likely that most of January is toast. I reallly hope we can score a modest event in the short window we have next week.
Yep OP run at range but it shows how we could get an overrunnning event with cold air in place and moisture heading towards us. Just have to hope the cold is deep enough so we can get some front end love prior to a switch over.
I noticed that also. Thats probably our only hope for the next 2 or 3 weeks. Get some cold around and time something up before the cold moves out. At least its not as diffucult to time something up during prime climo. Looks rather bleak for the foreseeable future
Wow! Over 5". Nice . I70 in washington,county was kind of the deviding line. I'm just under 3" and I've seem some 5 to 6" reports in the southern parts. I think the models really nailed the cut off of this storm really well.
I hope so. I've been watching it for the last few hours. It's moving so slow im afraid it's going to start the pivot south and east before it gets here.
Congrats to the dc crew. Happy for you guys.
Totals along the M/D line has been somewhat underwhelming. Close to what had been advertised for most of the week , but yesterday's bump north on the models raised my bar a little.