winterwx21

WOW. This is the most intense t-storm we've had in several years here. North wind gusting 60 to 70mph and pea sized hail. Can't remember seeing wind this strong from a t-storm here for a long time. You can barely see outside with the torrential rain blowing sideways. Lots of lightning too. Amazing storm.

Thanks. Radar looks great .... looks as if our area is about to get pounded.

RGEM did very well. Quite a few of its runs had a swath of 8 to 10 inch rains going across central NJ.

Haven't seen flooding like this since Floyd.

Incredible flooding here. Haven't seen anything like this in many years.

Yeah heaviest just slightly to the south of us on the RGEM. It brings the really heavy rains in around 6pm and the really heavy stuff falls in about a 6 hour period.

Stelton Road has to be one of the worst roads in the entire country. Hate it with a passion.

High temp hit 95 here. Now down to 92 due to more clouds.

12z Euro gives us a pretty good soaking wednesday night into thursday. Over an inch of rain.

High temps upper 70s to low 80s would be my guess for Labor Day weekend. GFS is showing a very nice holiday weekend. Hopefully that'll hold, but a long way to go.

I should have said for *most* of northern Middlesex county. Yeah, I can see the higher radar estimates for the extreme northeast part of the county. But the majority of northern Middlesex county is in the 1.00" to 1.50" range. I have only about 1.30" here. A huge difference from the huge totals down in the central and southern parts of the county.

Yeah only a little over an inch of rain for the northern part of our county. But at least it's still a good soaking and plenty to give everything a good watering. More to come tonight into tomorrow too, as some more bands should swing from northwest to southeast.

Obviously there were huge rain totals down in central and southern Middlesex County, but much lower amounts up here in extreme northern Middlesex County. I picked up 1.30" so far here.

97 degrees here right now. That's the high temp we had yesterday, but it feels slightly better than yesterday. Helps that the dewpoints are a little lower today. Yesterday was horrendous with the heat index up to 110.

Good timing too. Good to get a lot of moisture into the soil before the major heat wave. Plants in the vegetable garden will be able to handle the tremendous heat better now.

Rain came down in buckets (close to 1 inch) and lots of close lightning strikes. Great storm.

Things have really changed with the Delta variant. Much more easy for vaccinated people to catch and spread the Delta Variant. Other countries that actually count the breakthrough cases are reporting large numbers of breakthrough cases with the Delta variant. Iceland has 93% of its above 16 years old population vaccinated, yet they're seeing a major Delta surge. I posted an article where the chief epidemiologist of Iceland talks about how vaccinated people are easily catching and spreading the Delta variant. And who knows how much worse it will be with future variants. Hopefully vaccines won't become less and less effective with each variant.

The data on recent Delta hospitalizations in the UK... https://eturbonews.com/3000042/hundreds-of-vaccinated-people-hospitalized-in-uk-with-delta/ There are plenty of articles on the problems that Iceland is having right now. I assume you know how to do a search. Here is one where the chief epidemiologist of Iceland talks about how they're finding that vaccinated people can easily contract and spread the virus... https://www.icelandreview.com/society/covid-19-in-iceland-vaccination-has-not-led-to-herd-immunity-says-chief-epidemiologist/

Dr. Eric Topol wrote a good article on how America is flying blind when it comes to the Delta variant... https://www.theguardian.com/commentisfree/2021/aug/09/america-is-flying-blind-when-it-comes-to-the-delta-variant I wonder if the lack of counting of breakthrough cases in our country is because they just want to keep calling it "a pandemic of the unvaccinated" here. We know from data from other countries like the UK and Israel that there are a huge amount of breakthrough cases. And as Eric Topol mentions in the article, some countries are reporting that 10% to 20% of their hospitalizations are in vaccinated people. In fact I just read an article that talked about the fact that the UK just released data on their Delta variant hospitalizations from July 19th to August 2nd. Of the 1,467 people that were hospitalized, 512 people (34.9%) were vaccinated. You have to wonder why other countries are reporting that a much higher percentage of people in hospitals are vaccinated. The United States just is not being honest about the fact that the Delta variant is causing a significant threat to vaccinated people. I was just reading about the outbreak that Iceland is having right now. They thought Covid was over, but now they're having a big outbreak due to the Delta variant. In Iceland, 93% of the population over 16 years old is vaccinated. Yet they're seeing an outbreak. The vaccines just are not stopping the transmission of the Delta variant.

It's actually Novavax's fault. They keep delaying their submission to the FDA. The FDA is waiting and will approve it quickly when they submit. The FDA is saying they will still be willing go give NVAX emergency use authorization, despite the Pfizer vaccine getting full approval, because they really want a protein vaccine available as an option. It's frustrating for a lot of people that NVAX has been moving so slowly with this.

I definitely agree that the Delta variant is worse than the flu because of how incredibly contagious it is. A virus that's this contagious does a tremendous job of finding people that are most vulnerable, which is why we're seeing more hospitalizations and deaths with this than we see with the flu. But the media and even many doctors are misleading people when they claim that this variant is more likely to cause severe illness and death than variants of the past. The statistics from other countries are showing the opposite. Not really surprising because as viruses mutate, they tend to become more contagious but less lethal. But of course that does not mean that this virus still isn't dangerous for people with underlying health conditions.

Yeah the ignoring of natural immunity in our country might be the worst of all, because they want to force people to get shots that they don't even need. The other day I posted statistics from Israel that showed that natural immunity outperformed vaccine immunity by a wide margain in that country.

Yep. Other countries like Israel and the UK are being much more honest about the huge number of cases in vaccinated people. But in our country they are not honest about that, because they want to keep calling it a pandemic of the unvaccinated. Another way some doctors are being dishonest is that they're claiming that either you're vaccinated or you'll catch the Delta variant. That is completely untrue. There's no such thing as a virus getting to everyone. The 1918 flu didn't get to everyone. The Delta variant ravaged India, but there are tons of people over there that didn't get it. The lies that some (even doctors) come up with to try to scare people is very disturbing.

The scare tactics and fear mongering in this country is off the charts. The way the media and even many doctors talk about this Delta variant, leads people to believe that this variant is much more dangerous for young people. But notice how they never talk about the statistics on it in our country. They publicize and hype like crazy the cases in which young people are severely ill in the hospital, in an attempt to trick people into thinking this is common. But they don't give any kind of statistics on the hospitalization and death rates for younger people, because they want to push vaccination for everyone. Other countries have been honest about the low threat to younger people and have actually put statistics on it. The UK released data recently on death rates for people that were hospitalized with the Delta variant. The death rate for unvaccinated people under 50 years old was 0.02%. They also put out statistics showing the overall death rate for everyone is under 0.2%. We're seeing similar statistics from Spain. I was just reading a very good article from Spain. The author talks about how ridiculous vaccine passports are, but also the statistics showing the extremely low death rates now and the very tiny hospitalization rate for young people. They point out that the covid hospitalization rate for people under 30 years old in the last 2 months for Spain is only 0.3%. Here is the article... https://collateralglobal.org/article/the-delta-variant-decoupling-in-spain-and-the-illogic-of-vaccine-passports/ Yet in the United States, they will never ever show statistics like this. They want to keep mega hyping the rare severe cases in people under 30 years old. They want to mislead people and push their agenda. We will keep hearing about how this variant is more dangerous and deadly, even though the statistics don't back that up at all. The media really sucks. Time to turn off the news.

Actually Dr. Sallis' study was about physical activity level, not body weight. He controlled for all the known risk factors like overweight/obesity, heart disease, smoking, diabetes, etc. The study found that physical inactivity was the biggest modifiable risk factor for severe Covid, even greater than obesity. The study showed that physical fitness level is the most important thing. It makes sense because we know that exercise strengthens the immune system, heart and lungs.