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winterwx21

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Everything posted by winterwx21

  1. winterwx21
    12z Euro continue to be mostly dry for the day monday, and holds the rain off until monday night. It does give us a pretty good soaking monday night into tuesday morning though. A half inch to inch for most of the area.
  2. winterwx21
    Also GGEM is showing almost nothing for monday and holds the rain off until tuesday morning. Last night's Euro also held the rain off until late monday night, so the whole holiday weekend could be ok. We'll see what the new Euro run shows shortly.
  3. winterwx21
    12z GGEM is showing much less though ... less than a half inch for most of the area. We'll see what Euro shows shortly.
  4. winterwx21
    Yeah it seems pretty unlikely that we'll get that much rain. Almost every threat has fallen apart during this drought. It'll probably trend to become just isolated activity. And as much as we need the rain, most people aren't going to want to get it on a holiday. Especially an outdoor cookout holiday like Labor Day.
  5. winterwx21
    One thing we've seen with our warming climate is we're still getting a good amount of snow in the winter. It has become a Colorado-like climate in the winter here with the combination of warm temps and big snowstorms. So hopefully we can continue to pull off a good amount of snow in our warmer winters, but of course there's no guarantee that this will continue.
  6. winterwx21
    87 with a dewpoint of 49 here, and not a cloud in the sky. What a day to start September.
  7. winterwx21
    0.48" here so far. It was a nice heavy downpour. Still raining lightly, so might add a little more to the total. Sorry that most of it missed you in Branchburg.
  8. winterwx21
    Yeah it was a nice storm. A couple close lightning strikes here and picked up about a half inch of rain. A much needed watering.
  9. winterwx21
    It's pouring here now. Some wind gusts in the 30s and some lightning. Decent storm ... I'm so glad the line held together.
  10. winterwx21
    Yeah different models show different amounts. It's certainly possible that most of it could fall apart before getting to us. We'll see what happens tonight. At least there's a chance.
  11. winterwx21
    NAM gives our area about three quarters of an inch tonight, with heavier amounts to the northwest and south. RGEM also gets rain in here for tonight, but not as much. It gives us about a third of an inch. I'm hoping we get a decent watering tonight.
  12. winterwx21
    NAM gets some decent rain in here for tonight. Hopefully it'll happen.
  13. winterwx21
    Tough call on whether the storms will make it to our area tomorrow evening or fall apart before getting here. Definitely a better chance to the west.
  14. winterwx21
    Dewpoints will be falling to the 40s for thursday and friday, but temps will still be nice and warm in the 80s. It's going to be spectacular late summer weather ... a couple of the nicest days of the year. Models now showing a wrinkle with a possible backdoor front for late in the holiday weekend, but way too early to worry about rain. Seems pretty unlikely as Brian just said. It's so difficult to get any rain around here.
  15. winterwx21
    Yep, and very little rain in sight unfortunately. Scattered t-storms with the front late tuesday is looking like our only chance. Very dry pattern the next couple weeks. Hot too. After a brief minor cooldown late week, it looks as if we're gonna start another heat wave next weekend. Labor Day looks hot.
  16. winterwx21
    Beautiful summer day. The 90 degrees here right now feels good with the dewpoint down at 55.
  17. winterwx21
    Wow that's terrible. On radar it looks so close to you now. Hopefully you're about to get something. Up here it was a really nice downpour that lasted for awhile. Dropped a little over an inch of rain and I'm up to 1.28 for the day now. Ended up being pretty good up here, but it's a shame that the scattered nature of the convection leaves out many places.
  18. winterwx21
    It has been coming down in buckets. This cell saved the day for us.
  19. winterwx21
    Another cell popped up and is giving me a heavy downpour right now, thankfully.
  20. winterwx21
    I just barely got clipped by the southern edge of it. It rained for 1 minute.
  21. winterwx21
    0.23 here so far. Had a couple very brief heavy downpours.
  22. winterwx21
    Yep, just a little light rain here. The heavy rain this morning was very isolated, just in parts of Hunterdon and Somerset counties.
  23. winterwx21
    Looks as if the heavy rain that was supposed to hit us early in the morning never materialized. That was supposed to be the most widespread part of this event. Just terrible, but it figures that our bad luck continues. Of course there will still be some heavy downpours around the rest of the day, but they will be scattered in nature so we have to hope for good luck. HRRR doesn't look that great. Gonna be horrible if this event ends up a bust.
  24. winterwx21
    Hopefully this won't be a start of a trend of the models taking away our potential significant rain event. I see RGEM cut back on the 12z run too, now showing the bigger rain amounts staying to the southwest. Knowing that every potential event has fallen apart during this horrible drought, it certainly wouldn't be surprising if it happens again.
  25. winterwx21
    Yeah the 93 here right now doesn't feel bad at all with the dewpoint of 50. Very nice outside. But I'm hoping the higher dewpoints that will will be coming in sunday will help us finally see some widespread downpours sunday night and monday.
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