winterwx21
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Everything posted by winterwx21
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I ended up getting 1.36" from this storm. Very happy to get lucky today.
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Yeah it did strengthen back up. Nice heavy downpour still going on here. Might get an inch of rain out of this.
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Yep I thought it was gonna be heavier than this based on the way radar looked. Low end heavy rain here with a few rumbles. At least it's enough to give things a decent watering.
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Nothing to write home about, but a decent downpour going on here right now. Nice that we're getting lucky with a cell on an afternoon in which there is very little activity.
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Yep, just mentioned that to Allsnow. Looking good.
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Thanks. I think it's looking good as the cell has been building south a little. It should be pouring here soon.
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Decent downpour in Somerset County right now. Looks like a close call for me. I don't know if it's gonna hit me or miss me just to the north. I might just get brushed.
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I think the activity tomorrow will be very isolated, and monday looks dry. Sunday is the day I think we'll see more widespread activity. Hopefully a lot of the area will get hit that day.
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Yep. It's going to be isolated, but let's hope we get lucky here.
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I hope we can get something later since this morning didn't produce much for our area, but yeah it looks very isolated for the afternoon. I do think we have a better chance on sunday.
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And HRRR has very little activity for tomorrow. I hope we see something, but I'm not very optimistic. Sunday might be our best chance if last night's Euro is correct. I see RGEM does give us some rain during the morning tomorrow. Who knows.
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And I see 12z Euro is pretty active for friday and sunday, but mostly dry for saturday. Hopefully it'll work out that way. Anyway right now I leaving for the Seaside Heights boardwalk. Gonna be a nice night to see fireworks.
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I'm actually having a cookout saturday too. I'm hoping friday and sunday will be the more active days with saturday mostly dry.
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93 degrees here right now, but it doesn't feel oppressive with the dewpoint at 60. There will be some activity thursday night and friday, but it doesn't look like a widespread major event. Hopefully we'll get a downpour here. I watered the garden yesterday because it was already starting to get dry again. We really missed out on that last event, so hopefully we'll get something friday or over the weekend.
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Yep hot but lower humidity the next 2 days. Dewpoints might get down to the high 50s tomorrow. Late week into the weekend just looks like typical summer weather with higher humidity and isolated to widely scattered activity.
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And you gave some of us weenies early yesterday when we pointed out that our area might not get heavy rain since the models had our area near the sharp cutoff. Hopefully at some point you will learn your lesson and stop giving these silly weenies to realistic posts, lol.
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I know you were pessimistic when you came on early today and pointed out that radar wasn't looking encouraging for our area. Nice call.
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Yeah it was too far south with that heavy rain on the southern part of the line, but overall it did a good job showing the heavy rain falling apart rapidly for much of eastern NJ. We might not even get a quarter inch out of this. Not a big surprise though as we talked about the close call with the possibility of the heavy rain staying just to our west. There was a good signal on the models that it would fall apart close to our area.
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Looks like RGEM did a good job. It's weakening quickly now like the 18z run showed.
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Steady light to moderate rain here. Not looking like it's gonna be that impressive for our area. I'm thinking a quarter to half inch the way radar looks right now. At least a decent watering.
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It's downright comical that the latest run of HRRR now gives my area nothing at all tonight. You can see from the way radar looks that it's gonna be way off.
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Hopefully you're right about that. The heavy rain really falls apart on the RGEM too, but definitely could see how these models are wrong and we get hit hard.
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That line of heavy rain falls apart quickly tonight on 18z RGEM. It'll be interesting to see if it can hold together enough for our area. Radar certainly looks good right now.
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Extended summer stormlover74 future snow hole banter thread 23
winterwx21 replied to BxEngine's topic in New York City Metro
Yeah but you give out weenies to people sometimes just for making reasonable posts about expectations. Remember in late June when we had that pattern where NJ got crushed but very little rain got to NYC and east. There was a day that you claimed that NYC was about to get hit. I made the point that all the activity in NJ was moving north and nothing was on track to hit NYC. You gave me a weenie for that post. What happened? The rain stayed in NJ and NYC didn't get hit. It's very odd that you give weenies to reasonable posts as often as you do. -
18z run of HRRR has us right on the edge. It falls apart quickly as it hits eastern NJ. It's far from a lock that we're going to see heavy rain tonight. We might but who knows at this point. Close call.
