BombsAway1288

This isn't even close to being a top analog for this system, snowfall wise. There will not be 10-20 inches of snow for the coastal mid-atlantic and the Carolina's. Come on now....

Early occlusion is usually best for WCT/NYC and SW of there. Storm blowing it’s load too early is usually never good for NE

It really is pretty accurate. As others have said, I've been doing it for years but when think about driving on the highway, you do slow to a crawl when you hit a wall of rain to snow. Enjoy!

The Google Maps traffic colors is an interesting way of seeing the rain/snow line haha

Interior SNE def still has a shot at some heavy snows but coastal areas are screwed at this point with a NE wind off the ocean in early December and a crappy overall airmass. A nice big high over Quebec would of come in handy here but alas, on to the next one for us coastal dwellers. Interior folk of SNE and NNE, enjoy your foot + that's probably on its way!

It's an improvement, no doubt. My last post was referring to the EPS but in terms of the OP, usually look at that 5+ days out for trends if anything and when it shows storms already cutting into Detroit, usually a good indicator that it will cut west at some sort of degree unless the EPS is showing completely different.

I see one strengthening low over BOS this saturday otherwise, it looks boring. Hope I'm wrong and usually when I bitch about things, they turn around but it just looks a lot like the last few years. Prove me wrong please

Good thing is that the GFS continues to remain very active with big storms in the LR. Bad thing is that they all cut up the apps. Another year with storm after storm cutting, bringing rains to Fort Kent is not gonna be fun

Huh? Sorry, but that is not right, unless you're referring to the short range hurricane models, the rest of the models have been atrocious this year in the medium-long range, at least earlier in the season. There was multiple occasions when both the GFS and Euro had hurricane's or TD's just dissipating as they reached the coast. Been an awful year for the globals.

The way the operational's have handled TC's in the medium-long range (even short-range) this year, I would be taking anything they show with a grain of salt.

Couldn't agree more. For years growing up in NE Bergen County I was always envious of New England because of exactly the longitude. A few met/mods have mentioned it before (think it was Tip) but the fact that NE basically sticks out into the Atlantic relative to the general trajectory of the entire eastern seasboard helps tremendously with our snowfall chances from storms just like yesterday. Of course latitude plays a role but not as much as the longitude helps. We're just in the perfect position sometimes for strengthening/bombing low's that take the SW-NE trek off the coast. NJ/NYC would tend to be just a bit too far west when a storm's at 40/70 while due to the fact that NE sticks out into the Atlantic, we get the goods. That's why LI/Suffolk County has done so well recently as they could catch a little bit of what NE gets, albeit on the the southern side. Yesterday was one for the ages though and nobody was expecting what we got being it's so early in the season and being right on the water yet as I type, it looks like January outside with 4.5" of now and 27 degrees. Reminded me so much of the October 2011 storm in NNJ in terms of surprise. A lot less tree damage here yesterday than from that one though. Hopefully this year we can all get some good miller A's and storms that delivers the goods from Philly on northwards. DC is kind of a lost cause since 2010 (with the one exception being the 2016 storm) and will continue to be. They're just too far south and too warm these days.

Just awesome. I def. didnt expect that, don't think anybody else did either TBH. Anybody know where the official measurement is being taken now? I know Scott mentioned it wasn't at Deer Island anymore.

Light-moderate snow now but much be better growth upstairs. Better ratio stuff falling now

I’m at work at Black Falcon pier in the Seaport about as on the water as you can be. About 2 hours ago we had accumulated 1”-2”. Crazy for right on the water in October. Happy as a pig in shit

About an inch right in the water in the Seaport. You were right. Lol

How we hope. Not buying the 4"-5" at KBOS though lol. Hope I'm wrong!

Flake or two mixing in in here.I must say, wasn't expecting to be at 36 at this point. We'll see what the next 2-3 hours brings. Logan IS reporting rain/snow mix.

Hope so, just don't have any confidence with measurements being taken on the beach, Deer Island or not. Really wish they would officially measure in Boston Common. I know, I know, debate for another day

That is quite the spike over the last week. Does this translate to mean that there is A LOT more people that actually have covid right now and don't necessarily know it being that actual new daily positive numbers are less than in April/May?

Good to hear. Back at Logan?

Agreed. There will be no accumulation at the immediate coast in late October unless there is consistent heavy rates and the RPM pretty much depicts that there. 5 miles inland, a different story. Me thinks Logan records T (for snow in the air but not sticking) or 0.1 It's especially bad for measuring there being that it's literally being measured on the water basically (Deer Island)

I actually think your area does quite well and maybe even the best in SNE E of 91. Models consistently showing the juice down into CT and with you being the at one of the highest points of eastern CT, could easily get 2"-3". Would be a lot more if this thing wasn't flying.

That is absolutely wild and awesome at the same time

Color be skeptical but I'm just not buying ANY accumulation inside 128. Rain changing over to snow on the back end of a fast moving system in late October, not the greatest recipe for low elevation snows. Kind of surprised that Noyes is so bullish this morning.

Clearly. Was kind of going with a rhetorical question there. Guess the question or statement should have been more geared towards to how did this just explode so fast in the northern Gulf in late October, just as Greg Postel was referring to in his tweet.