Fozz
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Everything posted by Fozz
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I’ve always had a soft spot for Richmond, especially since they went many years without any real snow (not even the 2-4” events we roll our eyes at) back in the 00s. And they got relatively shafted in 2009-10. As for this storm, I’m keeping my expectation where it is. I think we’ll do better than the M/D line crowd. Nice to see it delivering in VA so far.
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I’m sticking to my 2-2.5” call IMBY. I don’t buy the most dire scenarios and so far things are looking juicy in VA. I think we’re in for a fun evening.
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I do believe, like Maestro, that it will be a big one that breaks our curse.
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Yeah but we will have a much better upper level setup this time around.
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It will end at some point, but until then, here we are. And this will be my last post on this topic ITT as I don’t want to fret any further.
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At this point we might as well assume that getting fringed is our climo. Saves us from disappointment later on.
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I didn’t even see the HDRPS when I posted that. Good lord…
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FV3 confirms everything that I’ve been wary about. And with poor snow growth on the fringes (GFS has low ratios for Kuchera), I don’t even think 2” is a guarantee north of the Baltimore beltway.
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The NAM is looking really nice, but based on the rule of cutting the NAM totals by half, I still like this call.
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I’m expecting anywhere from 2” to 2.5” IMBY. Good luck everyone, enjoy this!
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Sold!
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For most of us it isn’t about being “in the jack”. It is about wanting a storm that offers more than just 2-4”. Especially when snow events are few and far between.
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Most of us aren’t psuhoffman… we don’t live on a little mountain where we get random 2-4” squalls that nobody else gets.
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We’ve gotta see if it shows on the 3K NAM because that is more believable.
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3-5 has been the ceiling for basically every event here since 2018. So why not?
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That’s not my point though. My point is that if they aren’t including the northern counties then they aren’t expecting as much there. But the map isn’t consistent with that.
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Lolll I’m in the bullseye here.
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Their WSW begs to differ though. If this really was their forecast then they’d include the northern counties in the watch.
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I have a feeling this will verify almost perfectly. Yet another disappointing shaft on the way for the Baltimore crowd.
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So where is that “it’s supposed to snow” line? Somewhere near Fredericksburg?
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This is absolute perfection and it would be the biggest storm in almost a decade for many… if only it verifies that way and we assume that all accumulates properly.
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I was ready to give up on this storm. And then I saw the Euro. Let’s pull this north!
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Where I live, we had 8.5” in March 2018. That may have been the last time here. I was out during January 6 this year but that may have been around 5-6”. How much did you end up with?
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Well that is a disappointing run.
