Fozz
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Everything posted by Fozz
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There is no such thing as “deserving” snow. Nobody is entitled to snow. It’s just something we hope to see, and where some places get more than others. But the atmosphere will do what it does.
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I think Lutherville-Timonium counts as Northern Baltimore, since it is north of the beltway, and if you enter 21093 to the LWX forecast then it shows Northern Baltimore advisories. But it is close, and in borderline situations it’s worth knowing what LWX says for both Northern and Southern parts of the county.
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This is my first time working at the office at my current job on a day that it starts snowing later. I wish my job made an announcement beforehand, but they did not, so here I am. Rush hour should be fun. Snow will be falling, but not too heavy.
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I’ve always had a soft spot for Richmond, especially since they went many years without any real snow (not even the 2-4” events we roll our eyes at) back in the 00s. And they got relatively shafted in 2009-10. As for this storm, I’m keeping my expectation where it is. I think we’ll do better than the M/D line crowd. Nice to see it delivering in VA so far.
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I’m sticking to my 2-2.5” call IMBY. I don’t buy the most dire scenarios and so far things are looking juicy in VA. I think we’re in for a fun evening.
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I do believe, like Maestro, that it will be a big one that breaks our curse.
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Yeah but we will have a much better upper level setup this time around.
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It will end at some point, but until then, here we are. And this will be my last post on this topic ITT as I don’t want to fret any further.
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At this point we might as well assume that getting fringed is our climo. Saves us from disappointment later on.
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I didn’t even see the HDRPS when I posted that. Good lord…
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FV3 confirms everything that I’ve been wary about. And with poor snow growth on the fringes (GFS has low ratios for Kuchera), I don’t even think 2” is a guarantee north of the Baltimore beltway.
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The NAM is looking really nice, but based on the rule of cutting the NAM totals by half, I still like this call.
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I’m expecting anywhere from 2” to 2.5” IMBY. Good luck everyone, enjoy this!
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Sold!
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For most of us it isn’t about being “in the jack”. It is about wanting a storm that offers more than just 2-4”. Especially when snow events are few and far between.
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Most of us aren’t psuhoffman… we don’t live on a little mountain where we get random 2-4” squalls that nobody else gets.
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We’ve gotta see if it shows on the 3K NAM because that is more believable.
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3-5 has been the ceiling for basically every event here since 2018. So why not?
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That’s not my point though. My point is that if they aren’t including the northern counties then they aren’t expecting as much there. But the map isn’t consistent with that.
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Lolll I’m in the bullseye here.
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Their WSW begs to differ though. If this really was their forecast then they’d include the northern counties in the watch.
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I have a feeling this will verify almost perfectly. Yet another disappointing shaft on the way for the Baltimore crowd.
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So where is that “it’s supposed to snow” line? Somewhere near Fredericksburg?
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This is absolute perfection and it would be the biggest storm in almost a decade for many… if only it verifies that way and we assume that all accumulates properly.
