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Everything posted by Fozz
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The snow depth map from 18z 3k NAM yesterday gave me 2” exactly. My actual total was 80% higher. It’s a bad tool most of the time.
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What Went Wrong in Winter 23-24/Base State/Will It Ever Snow Again??
Fozz replied to WxUSAF's topic in Mid Atlantic
Thats why the mid-January cold spell with those two snow events felt so special and even extraordinary. It brought back memories of the past, as if the atmosphere decided to give us a rare taste of the bygone 20th century winter cold we used to enjoy years ago. -
The Weekend Rule? Saturday 2/17 - The Icon Storm
Fozz replied to DDweatherman's topic in Mid Atlantic
I find it incredible that many places just a few miles from that band didn’t just get 4-5”, a lot of them got less than 2” while they were just miles away from 6-12”. That has to be infuriating. -
I’d love to see something to look forward to before the second half of March, but I think people are really sick of the rug pulls.
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What Went Wrong in Winter 23-24/Base State/Will It Ever Snow Again??
Fozz replied to WxUSAF's topic in Mid Atlantic
It sure does. And after Jan 2016, which was like the ultimate W for this hobby (along with Feb 2010), I am not quite as emotionally attached to IMBY snow as I was before. It's still nice to see, but there are also so many mountains where I want to experience big storms and powder days. These -PNA patterns we've been getting are all great opportunities to ski out west while this area gets skunked, and I encourage those who are able to take advantage of it. -
That storm next Friday on the Euro looks like another yawner... perfect track, 40 degree rain
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If this psuhoffman storm ends up anything like the 2011 psuhoffman storm then I’ll be happy to call it a winter. As I recall that one also initially looked rainy but then had great dynamics.
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The Weekend Rule? Saturday 2/17 - The Icon Storm
Fozz replied to DDweatherman's topic in Mid Atlantic
Yeah many of the runs a few days ago had my area in between the bands, and with maybe 1-2” while places north and south would’ve gotten quite a bit more. -
We’d better not be finished for the season. Still keeping an eye on Friday
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Refresher snow & obs between ~midnight and Noon Sat Feb 17 2024
Fozz replied to wdrag's topic in New York City Metro
Yeah seems like the best of the fgen band stayed south of LI -
Refresher snow & obs between ~midnight and Noon Sat Feb 17 2024
Fozz replied to wdrag's topic in New York City Metro
This map says it all. Whoever was in that zone got crushed. Turquoise is 0.5”+, and the greens are 0.7”+ Seems like the axis from Flemington to New Brunswick through South Amboy and Keansburg hit the jackpot. -
The Weekend Rule? Saturday 2/17 - The Icon Storm
Fozz replied to DDweatherman's topic in Mid Atlantic
Snow is over. Ended up with a final total of 3.6”. Looks so nice outside. Definitely a decent event here and hopefully not the last. -
The Weekend Rule? Saturday 2/17 - The Icon Storm
Fozz replied to DDweatherman's topic in Mid Atlantic
I just saw… from Harrisburg to Allentown to Newark there are spots with 8-12”, and it’s almost painful to know it could’ve been us. Though even there it seems like there were winners and losers since many of those outside the bands in the subsidence ended up with very little. -
The Weekend Rule? Saturday 2/17 - The Icon Storm
Fozz replied to DDweatherman's topic in Mid Atlantic
To be blunt, this event was not worthy of a warning anywhere in our area. I can’t complain too much all things considered, but I imagine psuhoffman’s ~4” is close to the max in the region. This system was just too quick and too marginal to really be a big one. In and out within 4 hours. -
The Weekend Rule? Saturday 2/17 - The Icon Storm
Fozz replied to DDweatherman's topic in Mid Atlantic
Up to 3.2” now, still snowing. -
The Weekend Rule? Saturday 2/17 - The Icon Storm
Fozz replied to DDweatherman's topic in Mid Atlantic
Radar is looking good now. Should be getting here any moment -
The Weekend Rule? Saturday 2/17 - The Icon Storm
Fozz replied to DDweatherman's topic in Mid Atlantic
I’d be even more stoked if it wasn’t super late at night. Might stay up till 3am or so. -
The Weekend Rule? Saturday 2/17 - The Icon Storm
Fozz replied to DDweatherman's topic in Mid Atlantic
I don’t see this hitting warning levels in most spots, so the advisory makes sense. The 7” thing is a stretch IMO and probably mainly for the highest parts of Parrs ridge. -
The Weekend Rule? Saturday 2/17 - The Icon Storm
Fozz replied to DDweatherman's topic in Mid Atlantic
Nice to see warning level snow on the ICON -
I've been pretty lucky too, even when I booked further in advance. I remember 2021-22 was a crappy winter out west, but some time in January I had a feeling that the pattern would shift by early March, so that's when I booked my first ever ski trip out west and as soon as I arrived we had multiple powder days at Breck, Vail, and the whole front range. Then came MLK weekend in 2023 at Alta. Last winter you really couldn't go wrong with a trip to Alta at any time, since it just kept snowing constantly the whole season. Same with the Sierra.
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- weenie fest or weenie roast?
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I think it comes with a free trial, and it's definitely worth checking out. It was OpenSnow that helped me realize that Whistler's weather was just so much worse than I imagined - I didn't think it could rain in the alpine in mid-winter but that's what ended up happening with their pineapple express, and the app also showed me the great opportunity in the Sierras, didn't hype it too much but clearly showed that California will have a lot more storms than the Pacific NW once the trough sets up in the west.
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Get the OpenSnow app... it costs some money at $30/year but it gives great forecasts and very detailed writeups on the weather patterns in the big ski areas, and shows how well each ski area is doing. I think booking a trip a few weeks in advance is ideal... the main downside is that it costs more (especially airline tickets), but you have a better idea of the pattern and whether it's favorable for snow chances. If I'm going to travel all the way out west, I want the conditions and the weather to be worth it. So far every trip I've done has delivered.
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I was hoping to go to Whistler, but since it rained so much, I chose Tahoe instead, and I was there from the first of the month until this past Sunday. What a great move it was. Heavenly was not very impressive in terms of conditions (though the lake view was great), but Kirkwood was amazing, and at some point I’ll share the pics I took (in the winter pics thread). Kirkwood ended up with a total of 65” while I was out there, and this wasn’t the stereotypical Sierra cement, it was legit powder much like the Rockies. It was some of the best skiing I’ve ever enjoyed, not quite like Alta last year but close.
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- weenie fest or weenie roast?
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Time to book a March trip to Whistler?
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- weenie fest or weenie roast?
- weenies got roasted
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The Weekend Rule? Saturday 2/17 - The Icon Storm
Fozz replied to DDweatherman's topic in Mid Atlantic
Maybe it’s just me, but whenever any I-70 north storm is advertised on the models, it seems like the real dividing line ends up being the M/D line
