ILSNOW

My question is when does winter start?

18z Euro ice

12z Euro slightly warmer and cuts ice totals in chicago area in 1/2

Hoping this is wrong as RC pointed out the model has fake snow on the ground which should/will affect the temps.

GFS remains icy

18z Euro ice

why is there a big difference between the 2 ?

scary ice numbers over Michigan

corrected

corrected to read 84 hrs agree here is the sounding for the area that it paints 8 inches of snow (soundings indicate freezing rain)

12z UKMET is much colder than other models

12z Euro (way to early) agrees with you ice comment

snow has gone over to pingers

snow in Buffalo Grove

Defer to Ricky above. 0z HRRR comes in hot .

from Milwaukee using the "B" word WINTER STORM WARNING IN EFFECT FROM 9 AM TO 9 PM CST THURSDAY... * WHAT...Heavy snow expected. Total snow accumulations of 6 to 10 inches, highest amounts near the lake. Winds gusting as high as 35 to 40 mph with blowing and drifting snow. Near blizzard conditions in the afternoon and early evening. * WHERE...Ozaukee, Milwaukee, Racine and Kenosha Counties.

18z NAM steroids

Slight change from 18z

wow!!! thats a big number ILZ003>005-008-150400- /O.NEW.KLOT.WS.A.0001.230216T0900Z-230217T0300Z/ Winnebago-Boone-McHenry-Ogle- Including the cities of Rockford, Belvidere, Crystal Lake, Algonquin, McHenry, Woodstock, Rochelle, Oregon, and Byron 154 PM CST Tue Feb 14 2023 ...WINTER STORM WATCH IN EFFECT FROM LATE WEDNESDAY NIGHT THROUGH THURSDAY EVENING... * WHAT...Heavy snow possible. Total snow accumulations in excess of 6 inches are possible, along with some minor ice accumulations. Winds could gust as high as 35 mph. * WHERE...Winnebago, Boone, McHenry and Ogle Counties. * WHEN...From late Wednesday night through Thursday evening. * IMPACTS...Plan on slick, snow covered roads. The hazardous conditions are likely to impact both the morning and evening commutes on Thursday.

and I know that this has a 0% chance of verifying but great screensaver!!!!

While we are all wasting our time on this Thursday the fantasy GFS has this next wednesday

as 18z GFS shows

Went there and it was posted.

from our friends at NWS Farther to the northwest, a southwest to northeastward oriented baroclinic zone is expected to set up over far northwestern IL and adjacent areas of southern WI and eastern IA Wednesday into Wednesday night following the departure of the potent storm system tracking across the Upper Midwest Tuesday night. This baroclinic zone is likely to foster a band of moderate to possibly heavy band of accumulating snow late Wednesday night into Thursday as strengthening mid-level deformation along the systems northwestern periphery induces a rather healthy band of frontogenesis beneath the entrance region of an upper jet. Questions still remain on which exact areas this band of accumulating snow will occur, but current indications would support this roughly along and southwest to northeastern corridor from northern MO and southern and eastern IA through far northern parts of IL (north of I-88) into WI. There is also a threat of a light wintry mix of freezing rain and sleet just south of the heavier band of snow, and this wintry mix could fall across parts of the I-80 and I-88 corridors (including parts of the Chicago metro area) Thursday morning. Overall, this system does not look to be a major snow or ice maker for the area, but with the potential for a few inches of snow to fall