ILSNOW

So if we want snow in Chicago what do we need to see happen?

Another 50-100 miles east and we would be in good shape

Beavis weather

12z Euro very impressive by the lack of snow east of the Mississippi

Chicago NWS Special Statement The snow shield that had been scheduled to be lower by February 15th will now remain in place thru November 15th. Further updates will be announced after the summer.

February and no snow with this storm there is just no cold air

12z Euro which is an improvement from yesterdays 12z run. At least the folks in northern texas do well !!!!!

So Punxsutawney Phil saw his shadow meaning another 6 weeks of winter on top of the 6 days we have had so far.

0z Euro snow map thru 2/11 for the entire US. It looks like a late march/early April map.

Looking forward to our 72 hour cold snap in late March/early April when we get 4-6 inches of wet snow that only accumulates on the grass and then melts 3 hours later. Got 5 inches on Saturday and saw snow during the day for first time in a long time. this winter suxs!!!!

Yep the heavy stuff just started here.

Chicago NWS upped amounts for the northern tier but still under WWA URGENT - WINTER WEATHER MESSAGE National Weather Service Chicago IL 1049 AM CST Sat Jan 28 2023 ILZ003>006-290100- /O.CON.KLOT.WW.Y.0002.000000T0000Z-230129T0900Z/ Winnebago-Boone-McHenry-Lake IL- Including the cities of Rockford, Belvidere, Crystal Lake, Algonquin, McHenry, Woodstock, Waukegan, Buffalo Grove, Mundelein, and Gurnee 1049 AM CST Sat Jan 28 2023 ...WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 3 AM CST SUNDAY... * WHAT...Accumulating snow, heavy at times, and hazardous travel expected. Total snow accumulations of 4 to 7 inches.

URGENT - WINTER WEATHER MESSAGE National Weather Service Chicago IL 213 PM CST Tue Jan 24 2023 ILZ006-013-103-104-250415- /O.EXB.KLOT.WW.Y.0001.230125T0900Z-230126T0300Z/ Lake IL-DuPage-Northern Cook-Central Cook- Including the cities of Waukegan, Buffalo Grove, Mundelein, Gurnee, Naperville, Wheaton, Downers Grove, Lombard, Carol Stream, Evanston, Des Plaines, Schaumburg, Palatine, Northbrook, Chicago, Cicero, Oak Lawn, Oak Park, and La Grange 213 PM CST Tue Jan 24 2023 ...WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY IN EFFECT FROM 3 AM TO 9 PM CST WEDNESDAY... * WHAT...Slippery travel due to falling snow expected. Total snow accumulations of 2 to 4 inches expected. * WHERE...Lake IL, DuPage, Northern Cook and Central Cook Counties. * WHEN...From 3 AM to 9 PM CST Wednesday.

Who took the Euro Hostage?

0z HRRR Indiana looking good

18z Euro

I remember a time when we would get that last second NW move or a storm over performing where have those days gone.

12z Euro total snow Chicago maxes out at 1 inch

Eastern IA and N western IL do ok as well

Are you talking 23 or 24!!!

Chance of verifying .000001

Ricky While this system is at a range (around day 5) in which fairly large run to run variability is common, the 12z 1/14 global operational models were in pretty good agreement in the big picture details of the synoptic pattern and the entire area seeing precipitation starting Wednesday night into early Thursday. Since a distinct majority of ensemble members also indicate a favorable storm track to spread precip. across the area, continue to feel comfortable with the likely PoPs offered by the NBM. A strong enough synoptic system (which is currently favored at this vantage point), in addition to good large scale ascent, can be expected to draw a plume of well above normal PWATs northward. Thus regardless of precipitation type, a solid precip. producer for this time of year remains in the offing. The antecedent air mass will be marginally but sufficiently cold for wet snow, particularly for locales near and north of I-80. The exact track and strength of the low will determine how much of the area will see accumulating snow, with overall probabilities higher the farther north you go per most recent model and ensemble member and mean progs. The high PWATs and mixing ratios, plus the aforementioned strong large scale forcing are a concern for moderate to heavy snow rates. In summary, the threat for impactful winter weather in the form of heavy/wet accumulating snow for at least portions of the area has continued to tick upward, again with important caveats of this being about 5 days out. Stay tuned to later forecast updates for the Wednesday night-Thursday period. A colder (though not exceptionally cold for late January) and active pattern looks to continue heading into late January per solid ensemble consistency out in the medium-long range.

12z GF says yes

question have we ever had a JAN with under 1 inch?