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HVSnowLover

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Everything posted by HVSnowLover

  1. HVSnowLover
    This seems to be the best case scenario with the precip coming in early although seems NYC itself (particularly the northern parts) are fighting some dry air issues.
  2. HVSnowLover
    Not sure it will be all rain 9 pm to 10 am. I think maybe central park on north could see some mixing back and forth but definitely no accumulation after 9:00 pm.
  3. HVSnowLover
    Pretty much expected Northern NYC and probably north shore of LI should at least get something although a total blanking or white rain wouldn't be shocking either, all depends on intensity of precip onset imo.
  4. HVSnowLover
  5. HVSnowLover
    Not surprisingly it looks like the freezing line right now is the I287 corridor. Temps in the city right now ranging from 38 at the rockaways to 34 north Bronx.
  6. HVSnowLover
    Yes haven't had an I95 gradient storm in a while. It's usually always I287 now or even I84 although this could still be 2 inches Riverdale, 4 inches at HPN, and 0 at CPK which is more of a difference than most recent storms I can remember.
  7. HVSnowLover
    The 2 inch line looks like it goes into the NW corner of the Bronx. There does seem to be a tight NW to SE gradient for sure.
  8. HVSnowLover
    How do you determine the wet bulb temperature?
  9. HVSnowLover
    The cloud cover certainly can’t hurt in terms of holding temps down. 33 right now, probably needs to realistically be 35 or lower with heavy precip onset for any accumulating snow.
  10. HVSnowLover
    Do we know what is actually hitting the ground vs virga? It still says doing nothing in Philly.
  11. HVSnowLover
    That would help a bit I think if precip arrived earlier than expected. That’s actually probably the only real hope SE of I287.
  12. HVSnowLover
    Taking the advice of minimal expectations. Expect nothing here but white rain to plain rain. Anything else will exceed expectations at this point.
  13. HVSnowLover
    The NAM/HRRR actually look decent down to Northern NYC but I'm sure the RGEM will slam any hopes.
  14. HVSnowLover
    NAM I'd say is a tiny bit colder/snowier this run especially for the zone between 95 and 287. Also has the backend snow that I'm very skeptical of.
  15. HVSnowLover
    Well there is a sharp cutoff between mostly rain and mostly snow falling but the big totals still seem way NW of NYC.
  16. HVSnowLover
    Map?
  17. HVSnowLover
    I’m not going to do it but I’ve literally considered going somewhere to storm chase and sleeping in a car.
  18. HVSnowLover
    If it came in 7 am instead of 7 pm this is likely accumulating snow for everyone but it is what it is.
  19. HVSnowLover
    Depends how you define coast?
  20. HVSnowLover
    I'm probably less convinced than you that they'll be much snow falling in that park for more than a few hours.
  21. HVSnowLover
    Likely fine, definitely fine from the west village to the central Bronx. North of there iffy but highways probably be wet, maybe slushy north of the Cross County.
  22. HVSnowLover
    Probably need to be in the Bronx after 7 pm as I think that's the approximate start time?
  23. HVSnowLover
    I'm talking about the initial surge. The second wave I guess we'll see if anything actually pans out with that.
  24. HVSnowLover
    GFS about the same. Maybe a touch north and warmer.
  25. HVSnowLover
    I think you can get 3 inches OTG without number 3 as long as 1 and 2 happen . I think 3 is going to be nuisance snow.
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