jjwxman
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Everything posted by jjwxman
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If PTI (Greensboro,NC) ends the month with no measurable snow, which is looking likely, it will be the first time we’ve gone back to back January’s without any snow since 92 & 93. Interestingly enough we all know what happened shortly after in March of 93... Hope is alive and well!! Lol.
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Let the NW trend commence! Almost perfect HP placement, just need the LP closer to the coast!
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Wow, the 18z GEFS was strong on the CAD. It actually kept the favored NC western Piedmont and Foothills below freezing through 18z Saturday.
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Who’s up for some front end action this weekend?.... As in frozen precipitation of course.
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Haha... the fantasy land GFS takes the 540 line all the way to the GOM with snow from Brownsville to New Orleans... Sigh...
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The NAM and HRRR both support an isolated severe event on Monday 12/30. Another HSLC set up. Maybe we’ll fit in one more lightning bolt to wrap up 2019.
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Never mind... GFS now adjusting northward on the 00z. Lol
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Has anyone cared to notice the Euro is possibly caving to the GFS on it’s northern extent of the moisture? GSO went from 1.3” QPF to 0.1” QPF over the last 3 runs of the Euro. I just find this intriguing considering the GFS in the past likes to suppress these type of storms only to adjust northward. We’ll see what happens.
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NAM’d
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0z CMC summed up in one image.
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The ICON at least has precipitation over NC/SC for a period of time. Lol
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The GFS is in suppression mode. It always does this 3-5 days out. In this case however if it trends back NW I’m not optimistic it will be anything wintry.
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Santa and warm and fuzzy feelings belong in the sanitarium.
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At that time frame the HP is not in the ideal spot for a CAD setup. Ideally you want the HP over PA or NY. Also you’re going from 8am to 2pm so it’s not really anything to do with the players it’s more to do with daytime heating.
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That's looking pretty darn good right there. 12z EPS.
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The CMC is much faster with the storm, like 48 hours faster. If the Euro had the storm deepening off the coast at hr 132 like the CMC it's game on.
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The GFS is notorious for suppressing storms at this range.
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I know the GFS has always had it’s biases and issues, but the last 24 hours of runs have been very anomalous even for the GFS.
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This is the way.
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It’s definitely encouraging to see the Canadian with the storm. A more realistic progression if I may also add.
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Taken verbatim, the 12z GFS would be epic for Southern VA and Central NC. Intense deformation band with 25-35 mph surface winds, with higher gusts. If only the Euro or CMC would jump on board. Until then I’m not buying it.
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12/13 - Stop Collaborate and Listen Event
jjwxman replied to rowjimmy73's topic in Southeastern States
Same story just south of Greensboro. Temperature has risen 6 degrees in 2 hours. Winds picking up out of the SE. 37/23 -
Yea... This image is worth a few new subscriptions and at least 500 new likes.
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Haha, why is this output method allowed to exist??
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Yes it is... it ends up being a Apps runner but not before over 2" of QPF fall as something frozen over the CAD areas. Haha.
