The ice maps for the NAM are assuming everything freezes on contact. That’s simply not going to happen with temps 30-32. Freezing rain as we all know is self limiting anyway. I’m not an ice fan at all, but if for some reason you like no power for two weeks, you would want the surface temps to be on the order of 26-27. In Dec 2002 I measured 0.75 on the tree branches in MBY. We managed to stay 26-28 degrees the entire event.
I expect RAH will issue WWA for their NW counties tomorrow morning. This pretty much looks to be a non-event in regards to impacts in the Triad. But A couple of hours of snow will be nice to see if it happens.
The NAM is trending towards a legitimate marginal overrunning event for this weekend. Not sure how much further NW it will go but it’s definitely trending NW the last three runs.
RAH is likely going with "Warnings for Triad Counties, and also either expand the warning or issue advisories eastward across at least Stanly, Montgomery, Randolph, Alamance and Person counties."