CAPE
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Everything posted by CAPE
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Cape storm comeback. I said I had a feeling at HH yesterday...probably influenced by some drinks But seriously, there has been a definite trend towards a more favorable upper level evolution the last few runs. Didn't really expect this big of a jump from 6z though. Euro been trending that way too.
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Improvement with the sharpness and orientation of the UL energy and surface low development location over the last few runs on the GFS. EURO trending the same way but surface low development is a bit further offshore
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6z GEFS and EPS look very similar
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He wants nothing to do with a team that is old, has no QB for the future, and is overall devoid of talent. Multiple crappy seasons ahead. He bailed and will either take a year off or land a job in a spot like Atlanta- loaded with young talent and might have a QB for the future in Penix- although he is injury prone.
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It's not how we roll.. its how deterministic guidance rolls at long range. Volatile as fuck.
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I guess I would be mildly surprised.
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I know you know there is zero chance this verifies. Next run the most snow you will probably see anywhere on that map will be a foot or so- Alleghany front and up near the lakes.
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Yeah I' m not counting on it lol. Just what the forecast says.
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Did you know we suck at snow?
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18z GEFS for Wed night into Thurs- a half inch or so- plus the next "event"(my storm). For the snow map freaks- Taking it out further to include the @NorthArlington101storm(not likely correct ofc)
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Up to a half inch of snow in my forecast for Wed night. Woohoo!
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Natty Blend for my storm. Hmmm. Not sure this will look as good next run. Heavily weight towards the GFS?
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18z GEFS
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Peace Yeah when it shifts south 80 miles.
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GEFS 12z and 18z- a little more consistent than the op, as expected.
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Hey now both PSU and I staked a claim on that period, but if he agrees then its yours.
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I think that chance might be gone. The primary energy is likely too little too late wrt orientation and also sharpness. Still time with this one though and the guidance has been erratic as hell.
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Yeah I will take scraps bro if this is the result-
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I care about snow, not the date lol. The GFS keys on a different piece of energy every other run it seems. Lately its been 19th or 20th for our region or just north. 12z run-
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The ens mean has been somewhat better, so lets see what it has. Still 6-7 days out
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Yeah nothing. GFS is so inconsistent and bad, and its the only model that offers any hope lol.
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WB is behind. Its around 15z Tues that is of interest.
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Although its the trailing energy the produces the lift and precip on previous runs, so maybe
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Damn WB so slow. But I don't like it at hour 102. Positively tilted.
