CAPE

Tropical season has been super lame so far for the eastern half of our subforum. Like nonexistent.

But we have the spotty drizzle to make things interesting.

Yeah we'll see on that. GFS looks less impressive and Euro more impressive with precip associated with that over recent runs. They have flip flopped. At this point I am just looking forward to the midweek front that clears this stagnant, muggy airmass out of here and brings some nice early Fall weather with actual sunny days.

Cloudy with spotty drizzle here for days. No rain of significance. Less than a tenth. Radar doesn't look too encouraging for tonight. Even the modest quarter to half inch forecast would seem a longshot at this point.

There is a brand new thread for posting about digital snow.

It actually was among the best for my area. GFS was terrible. The primary issue lately is the atmospheric blocking pattern and how far north/east significant precip can make it. Your area has just been a bit too far NE. The situation is similar for the remnants of Helene. Overnight into tomorrow appears to be the best window, but forcing overall looks pretty weak over this way and points NE. A half inch is probably the upside here through tomorrow. We shall see beyond that as the low weakens and makes its way toward the coast.

You seem pretty drunk.

It's most likely CAT 4 now. Catastrophic.

Ty for creating this ridiculous thread. Now, I implore you all (Will), please keep posting this shit here exclusively going forward, and out of the medium/long range DISCUSSION threads.

Settle for a cat 4? Looking like a pretty good bet at landfall.

Looked at the playlist- If accurate The Killers are playing 7 songs, all from their earlier Albums including 3 from Hot Fuss. Several of my faves! Enjoy it and hopefully nothing more than a few showers down there.

Looking pretty healthy on the vis.

Per the GFS most of the rain over here would come from that closed low(as it transitions to an open wave) moving eastward underneath the blocking ridge early next week. That might end up weaker/further south. The Euro is more robust with rain chances tomorrow night into Saturday, more directly associated with the remnants of Helene.

Looking forward to a max half inch of gentle rain and periods of drizzle over the next 4 days. Good for the new grass.

Based on recent trends, it should make low end Cat 3 easily.

All these clouds and the coolish weather keep the ground moist from the rain that fell/watering. New grass thriving here, and I have a new area that was seeded on Sunday. About 75% done. I'll do the last area this weekend hopefully.

We will have plenty of warm and sunny days over the next couple months. Probably some Fall-like ones too. This pattern won't last forever.

Latest thinking from WPC- WPC forecast includes a blend of the GFS/ECMWF/UKMET for Friday and Saturday given good overall agreement with respect to the track of Potential Tropical Cyclone Nine and the handling of the cutoff low to the west. Switched to the GEFS/ECENS means for the latter part of the period as uncertainty the overall pattern grows. The forecast precip field shrinks/dissipates significantly for day 5- i.e nothing for our region east of the mountains.

Most likely the Bengals and Ravens will both be 1-3 when they meet in Cincy in 2 weeks.

There are some subtle differences between the key features despite the same general idea on how this evolves- for one, the closed h5 low off the Canadian Maritimes is stronger/further west on the GFS such that the confluence/convergence aloft on the west side appears to inhibit significant lift for our region. That feature is weaker and a tad further east on the Euro.

Stupid flaw in the rule. Since there was a an ineligible receiver there who attempted to catch it, its not intentional grounding- that would have been the call if he threw it to a spot where there was no receiver in the area. eta- not a flaw(to us it is). it's just the rule.

Harbaugh says he is working though a technical issue. Hopefully that's the case and he regains his form. Probably more likely he is now on the decline unfortunately.

Interesting, I guess? Wasn't very impressive his first stint here a few years ago, and they probably could use some secondary help more than anything on D. We shall see.

64 and light rain/drizzle. A bit raw out there.

Omg THE KILLERS are playing there. Just looked. Jealous. Wish I could go. Killers and Strokes are the 2 bands at the top of my list to see at this juncture.