CAPE

Us? Location dependent. Not sure what a cooperative Pac means tbh(you didn't say that but you responded to a post that did). A 'flood' of PAC air associated with the NPJ will often produce prolific snows in the high terrain of the western US. Also, the Pac jet characteristics(extensions, contractions) are variable, and will induce shifts in the strength/location of associated h5 features that ultimately impact the sensible weather further downstream. This is never a constant, so even in an overall hostile pattern for winter weather, periods of actual legit winter weather can still occur. We have seen this happen multiple times in recent winters with -PDO/Nina conditions.

The warmth is a bit annoying. Rather have sunny and 60, but looks like multiple days of mid 70s next week. Some places will likely see 80 in the next week.

From the evening Mount Holly AFD- LONG TERM /SATURDAY NIGHT THROUGH WEDNESDAY/... The long term forecast required little changes to an overall stagnant weather pattern. Our area will generally lie under the upper ridge through Monday before the ridge shifts offshore on Tuesday. A shortwave then looks to approach the area on Wednesday. At the surface, high pressure will remain situated overhead through at least Monday before shifting east on Tuesday. A cold front tries to work its way into the region from the northwest on Wednesday, but current forecast guidance suggests there may be limited moisture available with it. With this being said, there simply does not appear to be any beneficial rain in sight, so the prolonged period of dryness continues with clear skies and above normal temperatures.

low of 39

Too dry. I have to water the new grass and then ofc it becomes a feeding ground for the moles as the earthworms come up towards the surface.

Rex Ryan would have been better, but probably not available.

Might be a good thing. He was the Titans DC when they derailed the Ravens dominant offense in the playoffs in 2019. That said, I wasn't a big fan of his work overall as the DC when he was here. Remember the 'Swiss Pees' prevent defense? Seems quite similar to the issues they are having now.

Don't apologize. Literally no one else would have a problem with it, and 'getting' the intent of it.

If only the Ravens could get past Mahomes in the playoffs.

Meanwhile Lamar owns the entire NFC. 22-1.

How bout dem cowboys! What a joke lol.

Happy for Andrews, who has taken on more of a blocking role and done it well. Ultimate team player. Offense is humming now. Still waiting for the secondary to get it in gear. Clear weakness right now. That unit is largely preventing this team from being dominant.

I went out about 11pm and walked down to the end of the driveway. The color was noticeable in the north sky but pretty faint. Also fleeting. Thought about taking a drive but didn't seem worth it. I know it is enhanced(exaggerated) by taking a digital photo, but if I can't see it that way with the naked eye I don't really see the point lol.

38 Dropped to 36 about a mile south of my driveway once I got out into an open area.

High of 63. Glorious Fall day. Unfortunately I had to spend most of it indoors. Should be a nearly ideal radiational cooling night. Forecast low of 37 here.

Rain chances look meager on the means for at least the next 7 days. The abnormal dryness/moderate drought conditions across the region will persist.

44

Latest CFS. Fwiw. Why not roll with the good vibes heading into Winter. The destruction of hopes and dreams can wait lol.

Lamar was great. Defense not so much.

Defense needs some fixing. I truly feel bad for Burrow.

WTF ending. I have no voice and I have to teach tomorrow.

New Euro monthly is quite CFS like. A -EPO/WPO look with colder air across Canada draining into central/eastern US at times. Doesn't suggest a persistent Western US trough at all. Looks potentially colder/more wintry for the MA mid to late winter, which aligns with climo for snow. Thanks to @mitchnickfor the link.

A tad warm for early October, but yeah hard to complain.

Whoa. I think I would be all over that WC Triple IPA to start.