CAPE

Reading the Mount Holly AFD, looks like 4-5 days of low 90s, then depending on how things evolve towards next weekend with potential impacts from the southern low, temps may drop back to the mid to upper 80s. Much to be resolved with how that plays out, however. Pretty big differences between the Euro and the GFS. Shocking.

Yeah the next week or so looks dry outside of some isolated/very scattered stuff, and plenty of 90-95. Its inevitable here. I wouldn't mind the heat so much if it wouldn't always go bone dry during the hottest period of the summer.

87 currently. Looks like the one-day 90+ run here will end. Tomorrow looks to be the start of a better streak here.

Hopefully you were able to keep your distance during the altercation, since this dude was not wearing his mask properly, and I am sure he wasn't talking softly lol. The spittle was flying, for sure.

I didn't realize DC had been 90+ the past 9 days. It can be so different being out of the UHI this time of year. Ofc if we get an upper ridge axis overhead and surface HP off the coast, then the whole region will be pretty toasty.

85 here. A stretch of 90 degree temps in July is nbd, esp for DC. Some rain would be nice.

Could happen! Looks like Trenton pummeled right now lol.

40% chance here, but I doubt it. I soaked the grass this morning, and will hit it again tomorrow am. The usual summer dry spell is here.

DFH 120s?

LOL @ very upsetting. Maybe that dude would be "less upset", if he looked at the current runs of the useless CFS, instead of the useless CanSIPS. Dec and Feb look particularly decent.

92 was the high here. 91 currently. DP was as high as 71 though. Most uncomfortable day of the summer so far.

90/69 A little juicier than I thought it would be today. Good preview for the upcoming week.

Hot.

Looks like this week will be noticeably different, with increasing humidity and low temps staying mostly in the 70s.

Currently 85 here, after a high of 87. Not bad out at all.

Tomorrow looks to be the hottest day of the summer so far, although with the upper ridge axis to our west and a NW flow, the dew points should stay in the moderate range so it wont feel too awful.

Fwiw, latest ENSO update from CPC/NCEP still has equal chances of ENSO neutral or La Nina for fall and winter. My gut says weak Nina for the winter months, but that is above my pay grade.

I believe this winter will likely fall in the solar min period, or very close. What that means exactly as far as sensible weather, I think is highly debatable. Just because a solar min may have had some correlation to say, HL blocking in some past winters, does not mean that will be the case with the upcoming winter. Plenty of other factors to consider, with many being nebulous, not to mention these "relationships" can shift back and forth over time. Throw in climate change and, well, you get the picture. We just can't know.

Well that went down easy, and quick. Might have another.

Summer Crush NE DIPA. Its fruity!

The most reliable hint at this point is where the ENSO seems to be heading. LR climate models are all low skill, esp at this range. Goes without saying. That said, the CFS is on one of its "good" runs lately. Pretty decent overall h5 look for the winter months, and check out that monster west based -NAO for Feb, with a broad trough underneath.

Never made it to 80 here. Currently 77. Would be nice to get a soaking rain shower. The .06" from this morning was pretty useless lol.

Had a decent amount of rain here in June- I would have too look up the exact amount but it was right around 4". Most of it fell in the first couple weeks though, and it doesn't take long for it go dry this time of year.

Tuna with too much sauce on it lol. Very tasty though. Spicy tuna and avocado in the center.

Been jonesing for some sushi. Lunch.