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CAPE

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Everything posted by CAPE

  1. CAPE
    Yeah third and 10 from the 1.
  2. CAPE
    Well that was decent. Was about to consider flipping over to Hallmark. Or Lifetime.
  3. CAPE
    The bad news for Washington- the Steelers are pissed and motivated after being wholly unimpressive in barely beating the (hated) depleted Ravens last week. Good news is, they are the worst 11-0 team ever, and are eminently beatable.
  4. CAPE
    30 here too. Dropped 5 degrees quickly after sunset. Perfect early Dec day, other than we missed a coating of snow just to the south.
  5. CAPE
    Best thing that I can say about the Euro Weeklies, it that they are the Euro Weeklies. The skill is far less than the 15th day of the one EPS run they are initialized on. That said, the new edition has a craptastic EPAC most of the way, with varying degrees of NA help to partially mitigate. Nothing surprising there, since we are already seeing that now- it is simply a continuation. Some hints of the AK trough relaxing way out there and maybe a transition to an EPO ridge, fwiw(not much).
  6. CAPE
    Me too. Your team is in great shape, and a long time coming. Enjoy the run.
  7. CAPE
    You mean redskins? No, the WTFs.
  8. CAPE
    Drinking a STRAIGHT OUTTA THE SOUTH STREET LAB Triple IPA. Haven't had this since late Summer. Super good juicy IPA and 10% abv. A tad pricey at 26 a 4-pack, but worth it.
  9. CAPE
    NE MD and N DE pummeled by a flizzard. @frd yard jackpot.
  10. CAPE
    ...maybe
  11. CAPE
    High of 37 here after a low of 30. Currently 35.
  12. CAPE
    Excellent read. My buddy in Conway was in the biggest bust zone. Ended up with a quarter inch of mostly compact/partially melted flakes after a bunch of rain.
  13. CAPE
    Verbatim its a trailing cold front from low that moves across the Great Lakes, and there is some pretty cold air behind it. The WA high looks like it slows the progression of the front some, and there is are a couple of shorwaves digging south ahead of the western ridge. Too much analysis for day 10, but that is a pretty interesting set up.
  14. CAPE
    Just clouds in the forecast here, but 20% chance of light snow for Easton. Might see a flake or 3 driving south in the morning.
  15. CAPE
    Well yeah that is a projected mean, but it certainly would not be a shoutout look for the latter third of December, esp up your way,
  16. CAPE
    Word is Lamar will start for the Ravens Tuesday.
  17. CAPE
    Yeah I get that. Hopefully the Nina does in fact weaken towards mid/late winter. I am skeptical of any sustained AO/NAO help, because it has been so rare in winter lately, and unfavorable QBO, etc. Maybe our best shot would be a -EPO period if the Nina eases some. Ofc a SWE can also shift things in the high latitude troposphere.
  18. CAPE
    Really good look here in the NA on the 12z EPS. Too bad its wasted in (partially) mitigating a craptastic EPAC. Good example of how it can keep our region from being super warm though. As depicted we would probably be around average for temps, but pretty bleak prospects for frozen.
  19. CAPE
    Yeah there would be some chances embedded in there, but a lot would have to go right. Luckily those models are notoriously low skill, so there is that.
  20. CAPE
    ^Seasonals, meh. Almost exactly what the latest CFS looks like. Boilerplate Nina stuff.
  21. CAPE
    Pretty decent warming upstairs advertised towards day 15 on the GEFS.
  22. CAPE
    I didn't say there wasn't any potential for that window. Was just answering his question about the actual depiction for that run.
  23. CAPE
    It's a way offshore low developing on a cold front following a cutter. Our typical cold chasing rain deal.
  24. CAPE
    As it stands now I may see a few flakes falling driving into work.
  25. CAPE
    12z HRRR
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