CAPE
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Everything posted by CAPE
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Possible scattered flurries/ isolated flizzard.
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The trailing energy after the main precip(rain) moves out is the thing to watch. Wont be anything widespread but possibly some hefty snow showers/squalls in places. GFS hinting at it, and the 12z 12Km NAM a bit. Have to watch the Mesos as we get closer.
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I concur.
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The window for something looks to begin after the late month warm Miller B garbage event. The GFS will do what the GFS does with shortwaves coming east under a block at range.
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I changed mine a couple months ago. No one even noticed.
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NAM lookin good.
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Wow a slush slinging twister.
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You can do it yourself. It's under Account settings.
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I'm not sure Ji doesn't like fantasy snow more than actual snow. It seems to bring him more joy.
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You need to change your display name. That's so 3 years ago.
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Ravens need to get in first. We need the Steelers to get their shit together. Their final 2 games are against the Colts and Browns. Ravens have the tiebreaker over both.
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Average snowfall there is significantly higher. Elevation is over 4800 ft.
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Remember what i said about those 11-0 Steelers a few weeks back
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I don't think he really cares if it snows in my yard lol. I see you lurking. Reaper. Forget it.
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I would love to focus on what I get, except it's zero. Any advice?
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I was looking at this too. Had me thinking maybe a coastal scraper type deal for early Jan. Not suggesting bomb cyclone II or anything.
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Thats the only one of the 3 I haven't tried yet. This is my second purchase of the stock ale, which is aged in Bulleit bourbon barrels. The other one is also bourbon barrel aged, and slightly higher abv. They are very similar. The reviews of the GB stout put me off a bit. Doesn't sound like my thing. Might still try it though.
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Things are looking better than most of us expected. The effects of the apparent SWE/weakening SPV and the weakening of the Nina with time are really wildcards, so interesting times ahead. I am always prepared for failure lol. Ninas seem to find a way to produce at least a couple moderate events here though. I wont mention Boxing day 2010(oops) but caught the western edge of that, and did ok in mid/late winter in 17 and 18 too.
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I don't put much stock in the weeklies, but looking a week or so beyond the run they initialize on gives us a rough idea of how things will roll forward. Mid Jan still has a favorable HL look on today's edition. Pretty much a continuation of what we are seeing on the LR means. The -NAO is more west based from day 15 forward to this timeframe.
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That storm had an epic long duration CCB after the sleet fest. Made up for the mid storm "bust". Most places east of 95 still ended up with 20"+.
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Guinness Stock Ale for HH. This stuff is really good.
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I would characterize it as the best advertised winter pattern I have seen since at least 1996, with the potential to produce multiple cold rain events and no snow in my yard.
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It will be long gone in a few days. Your area may jackpot locally on the rain, with temps in the 50s for several hours. Looks worse for places up in PA and NY state- lots of rain on the areas that had over 2 feet. Could be some decent flooding.
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Not sure a wintry mix with temps above freezing is gonna replenish a snowpack lol. I might see a sprinkle here.
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LOL it "nailed" that and about 10 different advertised longwave patterns since then. Multiple times.
