Euro is pretty clearly a bit too far south given the synoptic setup, imo.
That said, I don't think the GFS evolution is the final answer either. More fun to come. Most likely some sort of a compromise, which should make most folks here happy.
One tick further north and the Euro is perfect. Nothing wonky about it. Just bring that FGEN band north a tad. That 16 in SBY could so easily be in my yard.
sorry @Lowershoresadness
GTFOH with that crap.
There would likely be a significant period of non-snow ptype on the GFS from DC south and east, plus a dry slot. DC isn't getting 9 with that evolution. But go ahead and take the model output verbatim.
The GFS evolution is too wonky. Big ass dry slot. Mixing issues. Back end is decent as advertised but would probably be less impressive in realty.
Much prefer the Euro, but a bit further north.
Something to note about the synoptic setup for this storm is the absence of high pressure to the north. Without that feature in place we don't want to see the initial low become too amped and tracking to our NW with no wedge in place. Nice to see the GFS depiction of a weaker low as it tracks into WV with a secondary low to our south becoming more prominent.