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CAPE

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Everything posted by CAPE

  1. CAPE
    The trends were not good. By 18z almost all guidance had the 850 0 line literally right over me or just south, and other than one 20 min period when I had some moderate snow falling, it was mostly sleet with flakes mixed in. Don't think I had the rates here to overcome that warm layer for the most part. I am guessing places just north of me did pretty well.
  2. CAPE
    Essentially a 4 hour event there. Didn't really get going until around 11pm, got way more sleet than snow, and it hasn't been doing anything significant since 330 am lol. An inch or so of frozen stuff out there. Looks like winter at least.
  3. CAPE
    Congrats Baltimore folks. Been mostly a sleetfest here. Must be a sneaky warm layer up there somewhere. The GFS nailed the dry zone just south of the good band across the northern counties. Got that here too.
  4. CAPE
  5. CAPE
    Maybe briefly, but more likely mixed with sleet. Possibly an hour or 2 of snow near the PA line.
  6. CAPE
    Oddly I am kind of looking forward to the ice event, which I normally dread given all the trees surrounding my house.. Probably because it doesn't appear to be even close to anything devastating, and more likely to be harmless and maybe add to the winter scene.
  7. CAPE
    Here is the "pretty" 18z Euro clown map.
  8. CAPE
    34 with some flakes starting to fly here.
  9. CAPE
    Better off looking out the window.
  10. CAPE
    I rarely if ever look at it. It is an exercise in futility 90% of the time.
  11. CAPE
    And this isn't always the case?
  12. CAPE
    36 and cloudy
  13. CAPE
    Too bad the RGEM is garbage.
  14. CAPE
    38 and cloudy here.
  15. CAPE
    HL blocking defo makes it more interesting.
  16. CAPE
    Leaves and sticks. Damn wind. Can never keep the leaves where I want them.
  17. CAPE
    Time to let the chips fall. My forecast is for 2-4" with some sleet, and there is also a "concern" for several hundredths of an inch ice accretion at some point tomorrow, before changing back to snow tomorrow evening. Time to focus on the next one, and the one after that. It ain't boring, folks.
  18. CAPE
    My deck is elevated and screwed.
  19. CAPE
    Some improvement on the 12z EPS. Stronger/souther NA vortex...better confluence...stronger surface high pressure compared to 0z. Still work to do.
  20. CAPE
    Need to park a barge out there. Sure see a lot of digital snow on the models after a cold front blasts off the coast following our big rainstorms lol.
  21. CAPE
    I don't think it has finished yet lol.
  22. CAPE
    I am going with the Euro/3km NAM/Para/WRF blend with this one, assuming they don't take a single tick north from this point on- which is unlikely lol.
  23. CAPE
    Happy to see there is such a large area offshore that will receive up to 3" of snow.
  24. CAPE
    If the effing north trend would stop, some of us outside of the northern tier would do ok. But I mean, what are these runs going to look like at 18z? My yard is tickled by the 850 0c line for a panel on most guidance now, which probably isn't a disaster- yet- but the indications are strong.
  25. CAPE
    Imo there was no way both waves were going to be legit and hit the same area. With the first wave stronger, (and confluence to our NE not as strong as advertised, esp on the Euro) it goes norther, and in its wake it pulls the boundary further south. Had the lead wave been a weak pos, I think the second one would have probably been good for N and C VA and much of MD, DE.
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