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CAPE

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Everything posted by CAPE

  1. It was pretty impressive when I was leaving to go home, but It seemed to be winding down. Maybe a quarter but definitely a solid dusting.
  2. Seeing some nice banding develop over S DE on radar. Any reports? @AlexD1990
  3. It's fatigue from the massive model tease and ultimate missed opportunity. We need a break, and we will get it. 50s next week. Cant wait. But its not over dude.
  4. Heavy dusting in Easton. By the time I got home there was just a trace and a few random flakes flying.
  5. Interesting tidbit from Mount Holly AFD this morning- Confidence in the synoptic snow amounts is fairly high in that we`ll see generally low snow totals but some ensemble members do show the potential for a higher impact mesoscale band to develop over portions of southern Delaware. The WPC Snowband Prototype shows at least one band from the HREF moving into Sussex County DE. If this does occur, rates could reach or exceed 1"/hour with snow quickly accumulating for a time. This is of low confidence.
  6. 0z EPS has a Miller B look for the 27-28th window. GEFS favors LP tracking to our north.
  7. lol how long is the PSU window exactly? A month? His storm failed.
  8. Or the antithesis of skill
  9. Just for prosperity. The run that the NAM completely caved, hard. Epically collapsed. As we all knew it would. It wasn't going to be incremental lol.
  10. Lets enhance vehicle corrosion for no reason. I doubt our latitude sees more than a dusting.
  11. Some maps here wrt Nina historical snowfall https://www.climate.gov/news-features/blogs/enso/revisiting-la-nina-and-winter-snowfall
  12. It's not doing the NAM thing. NS is all kicker, no capture.
  13. Well if it is onto something (and not on something), the better guidance should pick up on it over the next model cycle or 2.
  14. What the NAM is/has been doing is phasing in the NS energy just a bit more and sooner, which pulls the low a little closer to the coast as it tracks ENE, rather than it completely escaping and tracking eastward further south.
  15. Not 100 percent. Only because the nest has a similar idea.
  16. The NAM is telling us something.. put me out to pasture.
  17. Seeing late day sun shooting straight through the sidelights on my front door tells my brain Spring is really close.
  18. NBM is still suggestive of low end warning criteria. NWS likes to use that product when making forecasts.
  19. We need a Modoki Nino next winter in a big way.
  20. Just over 12" here for 18-19. That one was frustrating lol. The one storm that was supposed to jack here was a big fail. DC area jacked instead.
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