CAPE
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Everything posted by CAPE
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High of 17. 2 straight days in the mid to upper teens doesnt happen too often. With clear skies tonight, should get down around 5.
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Yeah it had a pretty nice look at h5 and the surface for the very end of the month, close to the same window as the AI storm.
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Yeah cloudy here all night. Only a low of 11.
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For early next week- probably not a high probability at this point but there is still enough uncertainty to keep an eye on it. The wave timing and degree of interaction between energy ejecting eastward from the southwest, and NS energy riding overtop the ridge and dropping southward is probably not going to be exactly correct as currently modeled. On current runs(GFS here) the NS vorticity digs down right overtop the southern energy and it shears out and then gets kicked off the coast with only weak surface development/precip in the mid south and a bit of snow in KY and TN on the northern edge.
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First things first. Early next week is still on the table with some energy ejecting out of the SW. No way to know at this point how exactly the NS energy will interact. GEFS suggests some potential exists.
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Yeah I keep waiting for someone to prove the earth isn't a sphere. Seems really flat when I look out my window.
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Best chance for a dusting or a bit more will be the immediate coast- Rehoboth to OC. The rest of us will have a virga storm with a few flakes making it to the ground in some places.
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18 currently, which is the high for the day.
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We know you don't care about the science. All you crave is model generated digital blue over your yard every run, and become performative when you don't get it.
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The Canadians have some minor accumulations too. I made a post or 2 about this days ago in the other thread, but its just weaker than it could have been. UL energy moving east underneath a strong jet streak at 300 mb. Good lift but dry air/not much moisture available.
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Only dangerous if you smoke it.
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Oh damn not that again
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Anti-science people on a science based weather forum. Too funny.
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16 and cloudy. 12z Euro has a half inch of snow falling here this evening lol
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Monday is still on the table. Beyond that around Feb 2 or so.
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Puking stellar dendrites in Lafayette lol
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Amazing it is https://www.klfy.com/sky10-camera-network/
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14 currently. Not sure it gets out of the teens today without any sun.
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That would be better, but a favorable Pacific can deliver as long as it doesn't get completely hostile up top. GEFS has the AO trending closer to neutral around the end of the month.
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Yes that part looks fine. As depicted it is not a bad pattern. See where it goes moving forward. Improvement in the PDO plus a late developing weak Nina (probably trending towards neutral late winter) might bode well.
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Look at the Louisiana webcams and live vicariously. 6-8" with blizzard conditions.
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This look isn't great but its workable, with a -WPO and close to neutral EPO, TPV in a good spot, and despite a +AO/NAO. Still a mechanism to deliver some cold at times. Just have to time a wave when the cold presses the gradient southward.
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National Weather Service Lake Charles LA 600 AM CST Tue Jan 21 2025 ... New AVIATION... .SHORT TERM... (Today through Thursday night) Issued at 429 AM CST Tue Jan 21 2025 Observations coming into the WFO this morning indicate that several locations along the coast have been gusting to 35 MPH along with visibilities in the 1/2 1/4 mile range in heavier snow bands. As a result, we`ve opted to issue what is, to this forecaster`s knowledge, the first blizzard warning ever issued by this office for Jasper and Orange counties as well as Cameron, Calcasieu, Jeff Davis, Acadia, Lafayette and Vermilion parishes.
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Low of 9 Saw a 7 while driving a mile or so from my house out in an open area.
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Or intentionally seeking out disinformation that supports an agenda.
