CAPE

Big sack. Missed FG. HUGE.

Oh god no. You have Jayden Daniels, not the guy who sees ghosts and crumbles under pressure.

Meh. Another FG. Needed some points so ok. Commanders D could use a stop/turnover here.

Just to clarify- as a Raven's fan I don't really care who wins, but kind of pulling for the WTFs. Really just wanna see a great game.

That was big. If they would have punted it back to the Eagles...could have gotten ugly quick.

Needed that. Love it.

Wow!

It has about an inch for your yard this weekend.

Commanders need the usual calm, cool Daniels to be just that on this drive. Really need to score a TD to stop the Philly momentum. Otherwise this could get out of hand pretty quick.

Well. Ravens fans know how big those fucking turnovers can be in a Playoff game. Commanders D needs to step up here.

It does, but really its the OL. Best in the NFL this year.

Could be 7-7. Note to Quinn. Don't settle for FGs. Be aggressive. Your team is playing with house money.

Damn. That's the matchup to worry Commanders fans. Eagles OL is beastly.

18 play drive for a FG. Went for it twice.. why not again? Anyway nice drive. Wear out the eagles D.

Not like there is anything else to track other than a pattern change in a couple weeks.

A lot to be resolved with the shortwave energy up in Canada. 12z Euro has that sharper sw that wasn't there on the 6z run- similar to the ICON. That helps pop a low pressure that moves eastward just to the north of our wave of interest. eta- actually it was there at 6z just a little weaker.

Similar to the CMC, but a tad further south and weaker.

See what the 12z Euro does. The end of the 6z run was a significant improvement over 0z for that same time, and the EPS concurred. Gimmie a 1035 H in that same spot.

12z GFS is not too far off. This run is similar to 6z. Need more southward dig of that NS vorticity ribbon. It's a bit flatter/further east than the 0z run, which was very close to something good. The area of convergence associated with feature that determines the location of surface HP. This run the high is more to the NE(and sliding out) instead of N/NW of the approaching low like 0z.

It has a more distinct/sharper shortwave digging south into Ontario, and pops a pretty strong surface low directly north of our potential storm. That's not helpful at all.

This is a discussion thread. No one cancels anything. People overreact sometimes. It's a weenie panic thing, and there is actually a special place for that.

Check out the EPS- 6z vs 0z for the same time. The 0z mean still phased in some of the energy from the trough out west in the panels beyond this, with low pressure lifting further north towards the GLs as the high pressure overtop slides eastward. There is more separation from the western energy on the 6z run, and the HP to the north is in a better position. Looks like the low would track more east than north if the run continued beyond 144.

Some good trends. Seeing much less interaction out west with the trough not digging as much. Less amped overall. It's going to take perfect placement/timing between the key features to get the result we want. A lot of moving parts in a progressive flow regime. No help in the NA. Need that NS energy up in Canada to dig enough and be in the right location to get the surface HP overtop the low as it tracks east. If that energy is out in front, associated HP slides east allowing the low to track northward on the backside.

Pretty big change from 0z run.

6z Euro at the end of its run. This is a good look. Surface low a tad too far north verbatim.