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CAPE

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Everything posted by CAPE

  1. CAPE
    Temp down to 32 now. Dry out there though. Not sure I will see much more than a tenth total for the 'event'.
  2. CAPE
    I remember that one I think. I was just a kid and it was a nearly snowless winter and the forecast was for 1-2" iirc. Ended up with close to a foot. School let out early and fun times sledding late that afternoon.
  3. CAPE
    33 and maybe some mist out there. Not even drizzle lol. 0.02" total. Quite an event so far!
  4. CAPE
    2018 was a good one. Classic paste bomb even here. Think I ended up with 7" or so, and you probably did better iirc. Ofc that was another one of those recent "good" Nina winters for eastern areas in general.
  5. CAPE
    Temp down to 33 here, but only 0.02" of drizzle. Generally just a cold, gray winter day. I'm not hating it. Pretty cool contrast from yesterday when it was 70 and sunny.
  6. CAPE
    All subject to change. Significant model errors in ridge amplitude/ axis and timing of northern stream energy coming south is likely at this range. (as we just saw with the failed Sunday-Monday potential).
  7. CAPE
    Yeah I saw that on the GFS. It looks like something that would probably end up further NE. Already coming in a bit too far east at an odd trajectory for our area. Could always trend the other way though!
  8. CAPE
    yeah I need to load up on omega-6
  9. CAPE
    12z GFS teasing for around the 10th. Way out there but this is the period where recent ensemble guidance has been depicting a pretty nice h5 look.
  10. CAPE
    Good luck. This event has been pretty much locked in for days now with some frozen/freezing precip up that way. I just hope the road crews have something better to do around here than drop a bunch of salt on the roads.
  11. CAPE
    36 here. Looks like some chilly light rain today and maybe a more substantial chilly rain tonight. Temps should be pretty steady here until rising later tonight.
  12. CAPE
    The Super bowl day event trended right into the lap of Psu land. It was pretty localized but it trended NW across guidance in the few days prior, well other than the GFS, which never figured that one out.
  13. CAPE
    This might of been the worst storm thread since the internet was invented in 1995 There was no requirement for you to follow it. You probably weren't getting snow from it even if it had transpired.
  14. CAPE
    Nothing killed it. In reality it (our storm) never existed. It was always going to end up however it ends up. NWP mathematical model simulations will always have error, and we, being silly humans, are generally willing to invest in what we would like to be true.
  15. CAPE
  16. CAPE
    67 here. The high was 70. I might wash the Jeep. It still has some road salt on it from the mostly fail event on SB Sunday.
  17. CAPE
    68 here at work in Easton.
  18. CAPE
    That map indicates what we already know to be the likely outcome over the next several days- all the snow will fall from central PA and north, and little to nothing south of there. Maybe check out the 2 storm threads!
  19. CAPE
    Remember my advice the other day about backing away from the snow maps? You somehow manage to glean information that simply isn't there.
  20. CAPE
    He meant to post the precip anomaly map. Must be slipping a bit.
  21. CAPE
    This is true.
  22. CAPE
    Tilapia
  23. CAPE
    Oh I had others in mind, but I decided to keep it clean.
  24. CAPE
    Might score a mid March paste bomb! At this point persistent cold or snow on the ground for more than a day is a fantasy. This upcoming period won't resemble March of 14 or 15. That h5 look is showing up on both the EPS and GEFS though, and with hints of a blocking ridge around Greenland- albeit displaced further north than ideal- you can see how it might help keep the TPV displaced in a good spot, and to slow vortices moving through the 50-50 region.
  25. CAPE
    Sounds like a frustrated weenie who lives in a place where it rarely snows.
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