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CAPE

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Everything posted by CAPE

  1. CAPE
    How in the hell do the Vikings keep doing this?
  2. CAPE
    The Ravens just can't have nice wide receivers.
  3. CAPE
    Damn, Jefferson. Wow.
  4. CAPE
    It looks chilly going forward and overall, despite the recent warmth, its been a very enjoyable Fall.
  5. CAPE
    Good game. Vikings aren't going away. That missed PAT might hurt.
  6. CAPE
    Idk, kinda hard to be too concerned about any outcome given we're still in November.
  7. CAPE
    Aww the daily post limited member from another sub is going weenie all my posts now because I called him out for shitting up the winter thread.
  8. CAPE
    CMC has impressive cold too, but no storm.
  9. CAPE
    Yes climo is still a legit issue. The Euro has been colder during that window than the GFS, so we will see.
  10. CAPE
    All 3 of the biggies had no temp worries, despite somewhat marginal temps to start. The beauty of a legit -AO/-NAO in place. Hard to beat for us. We trend colder as the storm approaches/gets going rather than the usual opposite. The real cold powder storm that winter was the late Jan event with temps in the mid teens the whole time. Underrated storm- loved that one.
  11. CAPE
    I think I just did Dec 2009. Been a couple years lol. Good guess.
  12. CAPE
    Speaking of which, pay no attention to the 12z Euro op run.
  13. CAPE
    yeah baby!
  14. CAPE
    The possible Friday wave looks dead, but models hinting at Sunday into Monday, which might have better wintry potential with the cold more entrenched.
  15. CAPE
    Yeah looks Nino-ish. Look at my profile pic- very similar. Guess what h5 composite that is.
  16. CAPE
    } // end
  17. CAPE
    CFS has that same general look for the last half of Dec, but with -height anomalies across the entire lower 48 lol. If only.
  18. CAPE
    We can hope. Plenty of uncertainty with modeling of longwave patterns at 2+ week leads. It would be nice to have an h5 look like that for late Dec into Jan.
  19. CAPE
    Nice reload. Looks more like a Nino pattern. CFS has been bullish for a while now with the HL +heights for early winter, and other LR/ extended products are in agreement. Weenie west based -NAO/50-50 low.
  20. CAPE
    Temps look solidly below average through Thanksgiving on the means, although the GEFS depicts some moderation sooner(around Thanksgiving) than the EPS. The period just beyond that looks milder with some relaxation in the pattern, as the amped ridge over AK looks to weaken and retrograde over the Aleutians. Then we will see about a reload heading into December.
  21. CAPE
    You mean the cold that just arrived today?
  22. CAPE
    If the latest GEFS extended is correct, the Pacific pattern improves and flips the dipole, with a trough near the Aleutians and a Downstream ridge. Meanwhile the NAO domain also looks close to ideal. Pretty nice pattern heading into the second week of Dec if it's real.
  23. CAPE
    Thanks, but not really. Looking ahead and seeing the potential (rather than being stuck in the despair of a shit pattern) pays off once in awhile.
  24. CAPE
    I used the 6z GFS to illustrate the general setup. There will be fairly significant differences in the details from run to run on the ops at this range. The ens means suggest a weakish wave tracking NE off the NC coast for now.
  25. CAPE
    It's definitely worth keeping an eye on. A little something to track other than first freeze for many areas.
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